FIFA World Cup 2022 Top Scorers – Golden Boot Odds, Prediction and Betting Pick

7 min (1540 words)

Are you ready to bet on the 2022 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot winner? The FIFA World Cup in Qatar is fast approaching and fans are wondering not just who will win the prestigious title this year, but also which player will win the golden boot! In this article, we present our top favorites and an appealing underdog bet on the top scorer at the 2022 World Cup. We’ll also give you four golden rules to follow when picking the top scorer.

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World Cup Golden Boot Award Odds

The FIFA World Cup trophy is the most coveted trophy you can win as a footballer. In addition, there are also individual awards at all World Cups, for example for the best player of the tournament or the player with the most goals. Becoming the World Cup´s top scorer is an achievement for eternity, as the award winner can be certain that his name will never be forgotten in the world of soccer.

Among soccer fans, betting on the top scorer is also very popular and is one of the most common World Cup bets. We reveal what to look out for when playing a betting slip on the top scorer and take a closer look at the favorites and underdogs for the golden boot!

This is how the popular ➜ sportsbook bet365 assesses the chances of the top scorer at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar:

Bet365 Odds Top Goalscorer World Cup 2022

Bet365 sports betting is the undisputed test winner in our large Bookmaker comparison! A look at their top contenders will make the hearts of all soccer fans beat faster. However, before placing a bet on the top goalscorer, there are some betting strategies to consider that will massively increase the chances of success.

Betting tips for the best goalscorer in World Cup 2022 in Qatar

Long-term bets on the top scorer are extremely sought after by fans, also because this is a subject that always generates a lot of talk and interesting debates among friends. Even novice punters pay attention to some details, such as the attacker’s current form and whether the striker kicks his team’s penalties and free kicks.

There are four golden rules that are essential to follow before placing a bet.

  • The quality of the group rivals: Especially in the group stage, the difference in skill between the participating teams can be very significant, so that the strikers can already lay the foundation for the title of World Cup top scorer in the first three games. So which teams will your designated pick face? Do you think he’ll score many goals against these opponents?

  • The quality of his own team: Robert Lewandowski would always be a promising candidate for the title of World Cup top scorer, given his scoring rate in club soccer. But if you think Poland won’t advance too far at the tournament, then you should probably bet on another player.

  • The competition up front: Is your favorite pick the undisputed goal-scorer of his team, or are there teammates who also have excellent chances of winning the much-coveted individual award? For example, if you’re betting on the Kylian Mbappe, you have to consider that Karim Benzema is also an excellent contender for the title and could “take some goals away” from his teammate.

  • Injury proneness: If you bet on a player in the lead-up to the World Cup who will ultimately not be able to take part in the finals due to injury, then you will have already lost your bet before the opening match. For this very reason, we would not place a long-term bet on the Brazilian Neymar a few months before the tournament, because he is often out of action for a longer period of time due to injury. 

Favorites to Win the Golden Boot

Harry Kane – Can he do it again?

The top pick of bookmaker bet365 is also our first choice. The center forward is the target player in the English forward line and is constantly used as a solo striker. He is surrounded by fast and dynamic wingers, who are always on the lookout for the powerful attacker in the middle. England has also been drawn in a group with Wales, Iran and the USA, in which a couple of goals should be quite possible. 

The most significant factor, moreover, is that Harry Kane has already been able to demonstrate his scoring prowess and his qualities in the English attacking center at a World Cup. The goal scorer actually won the Golden Boot four years ago at the 2018 World Cup in Russia. Kane scored six goals, leaving Antoine Griezmann and Romelu Lukaku, who contributed four goals each, behind him.

Vinicius Jr. – top scorer or assist supplier?

Real Madrid player Vinicius Jr. has recently become one of the best players in the world and scored the only goal in the 2021/22 Champions League final. The young striker enjoys a regular starting spot on the left wing and is less prone to injury than Neymar.

Live Trends Overlyzer Brazil vs. Uruguay

Consider this: As you can see from our Overlyzer chart, Brazil is the dominant team against almost every opponent and can generate a lot of pressure and create numerous scoring opportunities even against teams that are difficult to play against, such as Uruguay. This should also benefit Vinicius Jr. at the finals in Qatar! Register now at overlyzer.com and secure your edge in World Cup live betting!

Wagers on Vinicius Jr. are rewarded with good odds, which is primarily due to the fact that he is not only a dangerous goal scorer, but also creates lots of opportunities for his teammates. Thus, last season, in addition to 17 goals, he also achieved 13 assists. This is also the biggest risk with this bet – the young Brazilian has a good eye for teammates and could contribute many assists instead of many goals.

Romelu Lukaku – Belgian forward with decent betting odds

When Romelu Lukaku led Inter Milan to the Serie A title, sportsbooks would certainly not have offered such attractive odds for the powerhouse striker. The Belgian had a disappointing season in the Premier League after his move to Chelsea.

In the summer of 2022, the striker moved back to Inter, where he is expected to find his old form. Like Harry Kane, Lukaku is the undisputed target player in the forward line for his team. His team faces Canada and Morocco in Group F, two squads that could certainly have problems defensively against Belgium.

Top Underdog Picks to Win the Golden Boot

Memphis Depay – top scorer of the World Cup qualifier

Like Harry Kane, Memphis Depay scored twelve goals in the World Cup Qualifiers and was by far the best striker in his team. The dutchmen have also been adopting a more attacking style of play for some years now, and games involving the Oranje often end with an “over-score”. As you can see in our World Cup match schedule, Depay and his team will face Qatar in the group stage, who will start the games as major underdogs and are in danger of conceding plenty of goals.

Speaking of “over/under-betting”: Are you already familiar with our popular Over/Under tool?  This betting tool tells you before the start of the games the probabilities of how many goals will be scored in a match!

Sadio Mané – The most dangerous underdog

Sadio Mané is Senegal’s star player and consistently demonstrated his scoring capabilities in impressive fashion at Liverpool FC. The top scorer in the 2018/19 Premier League season was twice named Africa’s Footballer of the Year and moved to FC Bayern Munich at the start of the new season.

The biggest uncertainty factor in this bet is, of course, the question of how far Senegal will get in this final round? Most experts rate the Lions of Teranga, as the strongest team in Africa, which they underlined by winning the 2022 Africa Cup. In addition, Senegal will face hosts Qatar in the group stage and a landslide victory should not be ruled out. Currently, a bet on Sadio Mané will return 67 times your stake, which is why you could definitely gamble on a small underdog bet.

All World Cup top scorers in soccer history

YearNameCountryNumber of goals scored
1930Guillermo StábileArgentina8
1934Oldřich NejedlýCzechoslovakia5
1938LeonidasBrazil7
1950AdemirBrazil9
1954Sándor KocsisHungary11
1958Just FontaineFrance13
1962GarrinchaBrazil4
1966EusebioPortugal9
1970Gerd MüllerGermany10
1974Grzegorz LatoPoland7
1978Mario KempesArgentina6
1982Paolo RossiItaly6
1986Gary LinekerEngland6
1990Salvatore SchillaciItaly6
1994Oleg Salenko / Christo StoitschkowRussia / Bulgariajeweils 6
1998Davor ŠukerCroatia6
2002RonaldoBrazil8
2006Miroslav KloseGermany5
2010Thomas MüllerGermany5
2014James RodríguezColombia6
2018Harry KaneEngland6

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) – Golden Boot

How does the Golden Boot award get decided?

The golden boot is awarded to the player who scored the most goals in a tournament.

What happens when Golden Boot is tied?

In the past, if there was a tie, the player with more assists got the golden boot. However, since the 2006 World Cup, this rule is no longer applied. Now the trophy goes to the player who had fewer minutes of game time to score.

Who is the favorite to win the 2022 World Cup Golden Boot?

The English international striker Harry Kane is favored by all bookmakers.

Who won the Golden Boot last World Cup?

At the 2018 World Cup in Russia, Harry Kane won the Golden Boot with six goals.   

Heinz Heinz

Heinz ist seit mehr als 25 Jahren im Geschäft mit Sportwetten tätig. Vom einfachen Kassenpersonal im Wettshop bis zum CEO eines großen internationalen Wettanbieters hat er dabei alle Stationen in diesem Business durchlaufen. Seit 2008 ist Heinz als Berater in der Wettbranche aktiv und widmet sich in erster Linie dem Testen und Vergleichen der verschiedenen Wettanbieter im Internet.

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