Ecuador vs. Senegal Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | World Cup 2022
The decisive match in Group A will be played by Ecuador and Senegal. Ecuador currently have a four-point advantage over Senegal.
We bring you a preview of the match, the best odds and Ecuador – Senegal betting tips!
Ecuador have been convincing in the tournament so far: they won their opening match against Qatar 2-0 and were even the better team in the subsequent 1-1 draw against the Netherlands. Senegal lost their first match against the Netherlands 2-0 and then redeemed themselves with a 3-1 victory over World Cup hosts Qatar.
The match will take place on Tuesday 29 November at 6pm Qatar time at the Khalifa International Stadium in al-Rayyan.
Latest betting odds Ecuador vs. Senegal
After their strong performance in the first two matches, Ecuador are slightly favored by the bookies.
Our bookmaker test winner Bet365 offers odds of @2.45 for a win by Ecuador, @3.20 for a draw @3.10 for a win by Senegal.
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➜ visit Bookmaker | ➜ visit Bookmaker | ➜ visit Bookmaker | |
Ecuador to win | 2.45 | 2.40 | 2.43 |
Draw | 3.20 | 3.165 | 3.20 |
Senegal to win | 3.10 | 3.125 | 3.10 |

Ecuador to win against Senegal ➜ best odds 2.45 @ Bet365
Overlyzer Match Betting Prediction Ecuador vs. Senegal
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World Cup 2022 Betting Ecuador vs. Senegal
- Ecuador World Cup preview
- Senegal World Cup preview
- Team comparison
- The last duel
- Ecuador – Senegal over/under betting pick
- Ecuador – Senegal betting prediction
- Ecuador – Senegal correct score bet
- FAQ
Ecuador World Cup 2022 Preview
Ecuador’s first two group games have put them in an excellent position to advance to the round of 16. After a 2-0 win over Qatar and a strong 1-1 draw against the Netherlands, Ecuador hold four points and even a draw against Senegal would secure their place in the last 16.
In addition, the South American country has a World Cup hero: Enner Valencia scored again against the Netherlands and already has notched up three goals in the tournament. As in the first match against Qatar, the experienced striker from Fenerbahce Istanbul had to be substituted against the Netherlands with an injury. But there is no question that he will play against Senegal and will be an important key player for Ecuador.

Ecuador now hold all the aces against Senegal and they looked more ” composed ” than the Senegalese in the first games. It is therefore no surprise that the bookmakers favor Ecuador. Considering how strong Ecuador were against the Netherlands, the odds of @2.45 are also a good value bet.
In addition, Senegal must win to make it into the last 16 after all. This should also create counter-attacking opportunities for Ecuador over time.
> Read all about Ecuador’s World Cup squad
Ecuador previous World Cup matches
Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | XG | Possession | Accuracy | Duels won |
20/11/2022 | Qatar | N | 2 – 0 | 1.23 : 0.28 | 53.71% | 88.82% | 45.25% |
25/11/2022 | Netherlands | N | 1 : 1 | 1.37 : 0.04 | 43.93% | 81.89% | 45.07% |
Senegal World Cup 2022 Preview
Senegal kept themselves in the race for promotion with a 3-1 win over Qatar, but were far from convincing against the weak World Cup hosts. There was even a brief period in the second half when Qatar almost took control. After the Qataris had scored again, Senegal trembled for a short time before adding the 3:1.
However, the Senegalese have been very erratic and error-prone throughout the tournament. Due to the absence of Sadio Mané, the efficiency in the attack is poor and Aliou Cissé’s team often acts too clumsy and complicated.

Although the two attackers Diédhiou and Dia both scored against Qatar, the Senegalese were particularly careless with the available spaces on several occasions.
Considering how strong Ecuador were against the Netherlands you can already guess that the decisive match will be a very difficult one for the ill-balanced Senegalese.
> Read all about Senegal’s World Cup squad
Senegal previous World Cup matches
Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | XG | Possession | Accuracy | Duels won |
21/11/2022 | Netherlands | N | 0 – 2 | 0.82 : 0.95 | 48.79% | 83.38% | 44.61% |
25/11/2022 | Qatar | N | 3 – 1 | 1.12 : 0.69 | 52.50% | 84.80% | 50.00% |
Team comparison Ecuador vs. Senegal
In favor of Ecuador:
+ Centre-forward Enner Valencia is in absolute top form
+ Ecuador will go into the decisive match with a strong performance against the Dutch behind them
+ Very willing to run
+ Very confident in their duels
+ Very solid defense, but also strong in the build-up play
+ One point is enough for promotion
In favor of Senegal:
+ Slight advantages with regard to physical aspects
+ Only team to have scored three goals in a match in Group A
The last duel
The duel between Ecuador and Senegal has only taken place twice in football history, and both times Senegal came out on top. However, there has never been a duel at competition level.
In the last direct encounter, Senegal won 2-1 in a friendly match in Cairo in 2005.
Ecuador – Senegal Over Under Prediction
The match will be dominated by a lot of caution at the beginning, because losing is forbidden for both teams. Ecuador can take an even more wait-and-see approach, especially since a draw is enough for the South Americans to advance.
Senegal haven’t necessarily stood out with good decision-making in the tournament so far, but that’s exactly what will matter in the match against Ecuador. It is therefore to be expected that Ecuador will let the Senegalese attack and lurk on the counterattack.
We therefore do not expect a game with many goals, but rather a game in which individual actions or nuances will make the difference. Our goal count bet for Ecuador – Senegal is therefore an “Under 2.5”, i.e. a maximum of two goals scored in the match.

Ecuador – Senegal UNDER 2,5 goals ➜ best odds 1.51 @ Bet-at-Home
Overlyzer Over/Under Betting Pick Ecuador vs. Senegal
Ecuador – Senegal Prediction
Ecuador have clearly been stronger than Senegal in the tournament so far. The performance against the Netherlands was particularly impressive, even if it was not rewarded with a win. It was also striking that Ecuador only allowed 0.04 expected goals from Oranje against the Netherlands, which also says something about the defensive stability of the South Americans.
The circumstances are clearly in Ecuador’s favour: even a draw is enough to advance and therefore they can let Senegal have the ball and lurk on the counterattack. In the first games, Senegal became dangerous mainly when their opponents made mistakes and thus allowed scoring opportunities. Ecuador, however, made very few mistakes so far…
We are therefore betting Ecuador will beat Senegal, especially as the hard-working Latinos will have a number of counter-attacking opportunities. And given Enner Valencia’s top form, we can expect another goal from the captain!

Ecuador to win against Senegal➜ best odds 2.45 @ Bet365
Overlyzer Match Betting Prediction Ecuador vs. Senegal
Ecuador – Senegal Correct Score Bet
Ecuador will try to be safe in defense and not allow much. As Senegal have not been a creative team so far, the Africans will have few scoring opportunities.
Ecuador, on the other hand, will get their opportunities when it comes to transition play and will score sooner or later. Our Ecuador Senegal result bet is a 2-0 win in the end, because we expect Senegal to open up at some point and Ecuador to create several opportunities in the closing stages.

Ecuador to beat Senegal 2-0 ➜ best odds 12.0 @ Bet365
Overlyzer Correct Score Betting Tip Ecuador vs. Senegal
FAQ – Questions and answers about Ecuador – Senegal at the 2022 World Cup
The match between Ecuador and Senegal will take place on November 29, 2022 at 6pm Qatar Time. The match will be played at the Khalifa International Stadium in al-Rayyan.
In the United Kingdom the game between Ecuador and Senegal can be watched live on the BBC. In the United States Fox Sports will be the place to watch the game and in Canada the match will be aired on TNS. Fans from Ecuador watch on Teleamazonas or DirectTV Latin America , supporters from Senegal tune in to RTS Senegal or New World TV.
Ecuador won their opening match 2-0 against Qatar and then were the better team to draw 1-1 with the Netherlands. Senegal first lost 2-0 to the Netherlands, but then won 3-1 against hosts Qatar.
Ecuador’s best players are defenders, such as Piero Hincapié (Bayer Leverkusen) and Pervis Estupiñán (Brighton). In attack, Ecuador also have a highly experienced leader in Enner Valencia, who has already scored three goals in the tournament.
Senegal’s biggest star is Sadio Mané, who, however, is not taking part in the World Cup due to injury. In defense, centre back Kalidou Koulibaly and Chelsea goalkeeper Edouard Mendy are the best-known players.
The well-known British bookmaker Bet365 offers odds of @2.45 for a win by Ecuador. A draw brings odds of @3.20 and a Senegal victory earns odds of @3.10.