• All
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 16:00Hidden LeagueAustria
97%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 16:00Hidden LeagueAustria
97%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 03:00Hidden LeagueMexico
97%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 13:00Hidden LeagueItaly
94%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueFinland
94%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 21:30Hidden LeagueBrazil
94%
Austria Klagenfurt - SC Rheindorf Altach
05/04 15:00Admiral BundesligaAustria
91%
Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion
05/04 14:00Premier LeagueEngland
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 18:45Hidden LeagueFrance
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 19:05Hidden LeagueFrance
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueEngland
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 10:00Hidden LeagueRussia
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 16:45Hidden LeagueRussia
91%
Pachuca - América
05/04 23:00Liga MXMexico
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueScotland
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 08:35Hidden LeagueAustralia
91%
Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen
05/04 13:30BundesligaGermany
88%
1. FSV Mainz 05 - Holstein Kiel
05/04 13:30BundesligaGermany
88%
Stade Brestois 29 - Monaco
05/04 17:00Ligue 1France
88%
Plymouth Argyle - Norwich City FC
05/04 14:00ChampionshipEngland
88%
Winterthur - Zürich
05/04 16:00Super LeagueSwitzerland
88%
FC Groningen - PSV
05/04 18:00EredivisieNetherlands
88%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 23:30Hidden LeagueUSA
88%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 07:00Hidden LeagueAustralia
88%
Karmiotissa - Anorthosis
05/04 14:001. DivisionCyprus
88%
Žilina - Slovan Bratislava
05/04 16:00Niké LigaSlovakia
88%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:15Hidden LeagueSpain
88%
Aston Villa FC - Nottingham Forest
05/04 16:30Premier LeagueEngland
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 18:45Hidden LeagueItaly
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 15:00Hidden LeagueFrance
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueEngland
85%
Randers - Midtjylland
04/04 17:00SuperligaDenmark
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 16:00Hidden LeagueFinland
85%
Lokomotiv Moskva - Zenit
05/04 14:30Premier LeagueRussia
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 16:45Hidden LeagueNetherlands
85%
Monterrey - Guadalajara
06/04 01:05Liga MXMexico
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 08:35Hidden LeagueAustralia
85%
Sigma Olomouc - Karviná
05/04 11:30Chance LigaCzech Republic
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 18:45Hidden LeagueRepublic of Ireland
85%
Stal Mielec - Cracovia Kraków
04/04 16:00EkstraklasaPoland
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 15:30Hidden LeaguePoland
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 16:30Hidden LeagueSpain
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 19:00Hidden LeagueSpain
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueEngland
83%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 16:00Hidden LeagueAustria
83%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 16:00Hidden LeagueNorway
83%
Cercle Brugge - Beerschot-Wilrijk
05/04 14:00Pro LeagueBelgium
83%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 22:00Hidden LeagueParaguay
83%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 23:30Hidden LeagueParaguay
83%
Cincinnati - New England
05/04 23:30Major League SoccerUSA
83%
Aris - OFI
05/04 16:30Super LeagueGreece
83%
St Patrick's - Shelbourne
04/04 18:45Premier DivisionRepublic of Ireland
83%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 18:45Hidden LeagueRepublic of Ireland
83%
Coleraine - Dungannon Swifts
05/04 14:00PremiershipNorthern Ireland
83%
Suzhou Dongwu - Guangxi Baoyun
05/04 11:00League OneChina PR
83%
Antalyaspor - Samsunspor
05/04 16:00Super LigTurkey
83%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueBosnia and Herzegovina
83%
GOSK Gabela - Sarajevo
05/04 18:45Premier LigaBosnia and Herzegovina
83%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 17:30Hidden LeagueAustria
82%
FC Augsburg - Bayern München
04/04 18:30BundesligaGermany
80%
SC Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund
05/04 13:30BundesligaGermany
80%
RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim
05/04 13:30BundesligaGermany
80%
Parma Calcio 1913 - Inter Milan
05/04 16:00Serie AItaly
80%
SV Ried - Amstetten
04/04 16:002. LigaAustria
80%
Luton Town - Leeds United
05/04 11:30ChampionshipEngland
80%
VPS - Oulu
05/04 14:00VeikkausliigaFinland
80%
Olimpiyets - Orenburg
04/04 16:00Premier LeagueRussia
80%
Fakel - Akhmat Grozny
05/04 12:15Premier LeagueRussia
80%
Ceará - Grêmio
05/04 21:30Serie ABrazil
80%
Botafogo - Juventude
06/04 00:00Serie ABrazil
80%
Atlético Nacional - Unión Magdalena
05/04 19:00Liga BetPlayColombia
80%
Sporting KC - Saint Louis City
06/04 00:30Major League SoccerUSA
80%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 01:00Hidden LeagueMexico
80%
Atlas - Juárez
05/04 23:00Liga MXMexico
80%
Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners
05/04 06:00A-League MenAustralia
80%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 17:00Hidden LeagueCzech Republic
80%
Glenavon - Loughgall
05/04 14:00PremiershipNorthern Ireland
80%
Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce
05/04 18:15EkstraklasaPoland
80%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 19:00Hidden LeagueSpain
80%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 22:30Hidden LeaguePeru
80%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 16:30Hidden LeagueGermany
79%
Rangers - Hibernian
05/04 14:00PremiershipScotland
79%
Oxford United - Sheffield United FC
05/04 14:00ChampionshipEngland
77%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 23:20Hidden LeagueColombia
77%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueCzech Republic
77%
Otelul - CSM Iaşi
04/04 14:30Liga 1Romania
77%
Melgar - ADT
05/04 20:15Primera DivisionPeru
77%
Lausanne Sport - Sion
05/04 16:00Super LeagueSwitzerland
76%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueNorway
76%
Mariehamn - Jaro
05/04 14:00VeikkausliigaFinland
76%
Rizespor - Sivasspor
05/04 10:30Super LigTurkey
76%
Igman Konjic - Zeljeznicar
05/04 13:00Premier LigaBosnia and Herzegovina
76%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 18:45Hidden LeagueItaly
74%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueFinland
74%
Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy
05/04 05:00J-LeagueJapan
74%
Sangju Sangmu - Daegu
05/04 07:30K League 1Korea Republic
74%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 10:00Hidden LeagueKorea Republic
74%
FCSB - Universitatea Cluj
05/04 18:15Liga 1Romania
74%
İstanbul Başakşehir - Konyaspor
05/04 13:00Super LigTurkey
74%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 13:30Hidden LeagueGermany
73%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueEngland
73%
SC Heerenveen - Willem II
04/04 18:00EredivisieNetherlands
73%
Estudiantes - Belgrano
04/04 22:00Liga Profesional de FútbolArgentina
73%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 19:00Hidden LeagueUruguay
73%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 12:45Hidden LeaguePoland
73%
Swansea City - Derby County
05/04 14:00ChampionshipEngland
71%
Young Boys - Yverdon Sport
05/04 18:30Super LeagueSwitzerland
71%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 15:00Hidden LeagueAustria
70%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 17:00Hidden LeaguePortugal
70%
AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord
05/04 14:30EredivisieNetherlands
70%
Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense
04/04 23:30Division 1Paraguay
70%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 22:00Hidden LeagueParaguay
70%
Charlotte - Nashville SC
05/04 18:30Major League SoccerUSA
70%
Real Salt Lake - LA Galaxy
05/04 20:30Major League SoccerUSA
70%
Atlanta United - Dallas
05/04 23:30Major League SoccerUSA
70%
New York RB - Chicago Fire
05/04 23:30Major League SoccerUSA
70%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 03:05Hidden LeagueMexico
70%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 18:45Hidden LeagueRepublic of Ireland
70%
Koper - Radomlje
05/04 18:151. SNLSlovenia
70%
Atlético Grau - Cienciano
05/04 15:15Primera DivisionPeru
70%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 11:30Hidden LeagueEngland
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 13:00Hidden LeagueSweden
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 18:45Hidden LeagueBelgium
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 21:00Hidden LeagueArgentina
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 23:30Hidden LeagueUSA
68%
Vancouver Whitecaps - Colorado Rapids
06/04 01:30Major League SoccerUSA
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
06/04 01:00Hidden LeagueMexico
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 16:30Hidden LeagueCyprus
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 17:00Hidden LeagueGreece
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 18:30Hidden LeaguePoland
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 12:00Hidden LeagueSpain
68%
Sport Huancayo - Deportivo Garcilaso
05/04 01:00Primera DivisionPeru
68%
Alianza Lima - Universitario
06/04 00:00Primera DivisionPeru
68%
Mechelen - Dender
04/04 18:45Pro LeagueBelgium
65%
Alianza Petrolera - Envigado
04/04 21:00Liga BetPlayColombia
65%
SV Horn - FC Liefering
05/04 12:302. LigaAustria
65%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 18:00Hidden LeagueAustria
65%
Ross County - Aberdeen
05/04 14:00PremiershipScotland
65%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 11:35Hidden LeagueChina PR
65%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 13:30Hidden LeagueSlovakia
65%
San Martín San Juan - San Lorenzo
05/04 01:00Liga Profesional de FútbolArgentina
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 21:10Hidden LeagueColombia
62%
Everton - Arsenal
05/04 11:30Premier LeagueEngland
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueEngland
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueEngland
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 13:00Hidden LeagueSweden
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 16:15Hidden LeagueBelgium
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
06/04 00:30Hidden LeagueUSA
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 07:30Hidden LeagueKorea Republic
62%
Levadiakos - Panserraikos
05/04 14:00Super LeagueGreece
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueNorthern Ireland
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 13:45Hidden LeagueRomania
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 00:00Hidden LeagueColombia
59%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 22:00Hidden LeagueParaguay
59%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueScotland
59%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 05:00Hidden LeagueKorea Republic
59%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 13:30Hidden LeagueCyprus
59%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 18:45Hidden LeagueRepublic of Ireland
59%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueNorthern Ireland
59%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 16:00Hidden LeagueBosnia and Herzegovina
59%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 19:15Hidden LeagueIceland
58%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 15:30Hidden LeagueSweden
58%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 19:15Hidden LeaguePortugal
58%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 12:00Hidden LeagueFinland
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 19:30Hidden LeaguePortugal
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 18:30Hidden LeagueArgentina
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 22:00Hidden LeagueParaguay
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueCzech Republic
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 17:30Hidden LeagueRomania
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 13:30Hidden LeagueSlovakia
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 11:30Hidden LeagueEngland
55%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 04:00Hidden LeagueAustralia
55%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueNorthern Ireland
55%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 23:30Hidden LeagueArgentina
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
06/04 01:30Hidden LeagueColombia
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 21:30Hidden LeagueUruguay
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 13:30Hidden LeagueSlovakia
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 19:00Hidden LeagueEngland
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 12:00Hidden LeagueNorthern Ireland
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 15:00Hidden LeagueAustria
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 19:00Hidden LeagueNetherlands
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 18:30Hidden LeagueArgentina
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/04 17:00Hidden LeagueTurkey
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 12:30Hidden LeagueAustria
47%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 11:30Hidden LeagueCzech Republic
47%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 15:30Hidden LeagueSerbia
47%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 14:00Hidden LeagueEngland
41%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 23:45Hidden LeagueUSA
41%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 15:30Hidden LeagueSlovenia
41%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 07:30Hidden LeagueChina PR
41%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/04 21:00Hidden LeagueArgentina
32%

Over/Under bets with Overlyzer » your tool for over and under goal bets

With our Over/Under tool you get all statistical probabilities for goal counts of upcoming soccer games ➜ your ultimate advantage for Over/Under bets

Over/Under Betting with massive odds and high limits at 22Bet

How to bet successfully on over/under!

We have already explained what an over/under bet is in our article on special bets. How many goals are scored in a game? Is it three or more? Is it less than three? The notorious over/under bets are certainly one of the most interesting and exciting markets that the world of betting websites has to offer. But what betting strategy should you use to win?

The best betting sites offer statistics and direct comparisons before a duel between two teams or athletes. In most cases, however, they do not go far back into the past and leave the bettor with rather superficial information.

Generally, you can find statistics for the last five direct duels, as well as the last five games of the respective teams very quickly. Of course, the form of the day is important and also the last direct duels are not insignificant; but a tendency of how likely a high or low number of goals has occurred in previous match, is not necessarily left behind through these information.

To find out the actual scoring potential of two teams, you have to dig a little deeper. You should not only use the last few weeks as a benchmark, but a longer period of time! Of course, it can happen that a team has had a run in the last few weeks, but that doesn’t say much about the actual potential of this team.

Thus, we have to take a larger sample than the one suggested by the best betting websites in our reviews with their rather superficial statistics. Nonetheless, we shouldn’t make the mistake of calculating an average value. Rather, we should count how high the rate of over or under games was.

Do not be blinded by the average

Let’s take a closer look at the matter: We decide to find a team that we think is a good candidate for an over 2.5. Let’s take AC Milan’s Serie A home games between December 2015 and November 2016 as an example.

There was a total of 18 games, so it’s a representative sample. A total of 46 goals were scored in these 18 games, which corresponds to an average goal of 2.55 per game. We are already above the magical limit of 2.5. In those 18 Milan home games, there were an average of three goals rather than fewer than three goals.

However, there were some results that falsified this average because they were well above the 2.5 goals. For example a 3-3 against Frosinone, a 3-2 against Torino and a 4-3 against Sassuolo.

If we take a closer look on these 18 games and pick out those that actually noted three goals or more, we only get seven. Even if the average looks promising at first glance, you would have only won 39% of your over 2.5 bets if you had bet on it at each of these 18 AC Milan home games. This is how the average amount of goals can harm you instead of benefit you, when looking to bet over/under successfully.

Take a closer look at the number of over/under games

It makes sense to count the number of overs and unders – but not to calculate the goal average. This can also be applied to home games, away games or all games. In addition, it makes perfect sense to consider these counts in relation to the competition. For example, when Celtic hosts one outsider after the other in the Scottish Premier League, it is a different situation than when they have to play against FC Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League Betting.

Depending on the sport, you should take a set number of games as a sample. It also depends on how stretched the period is. If you use two whole seasons as a benchmark in football betting, this can also be counterproductive, especially if the squad of a team has changed.

We generally suggest a sample of 15 to 30 games. To be even more precise, it could be narrowed to 20 to 30 games.

In addition, it is advisable to stick to the standard amount for over/under bets – i.e. over 2.5 or under 2.5. Of course, there are always situations or games where you can find a decent value in an under 1.5 or an over 4.5, but in reality, these are the bets that online bookmakers are very fond of making money with. As with all other bets, the following applies: compare the odds, try to assess whether an odd is fair and then you will find enough value bets with the over/under 2.5 variant.

Secure your over/under bet

As always, the same applies here: if you want to be even more secure with your live bets, then go deeper. In the case of over/under bets, you can achieve this, among other things, by evaluating shots in relation to goals.

  • Number of shots by a team
  • How many of them went on goal?
  • What is the conversion rate?

But other statistics or observations can also help you with your over/under bets. For example, the question of how a team approaches a game. Do you try to score the first goal and then maintain the result in the best possible way? Or does a team go straight for the second goal once they lead 1-0. Of course, it also makes sense to consider the current shape of a team and to take into account runs or phases of weakness; but, a closer look at the larger sample shows whether the team generally has the potential for many goals – towards the one direction or the other!

The “safe” over/under games

Chelsea FC hosts Burnley FC at home and have won the last seven home games. The online bookmakers offer an average of @ 1.15 for a win for the Blues. Well, nothing can go wrong here.

However, you wouldn’t want to bet a lot of money on this game. The reason is relatively simple to explain: it can’t practically be a value bet. Let us now quantify a Chelsea win, for example, with a probability of 92%. There is no one hundred percent bet, because something unpredictable can always happen. A stupid goal conceded from a set piece and then a deep-laying opponent. An early red card. Or, one of those days when the ball just won’t go in.

Not really interesting, isn’t it? Not even after we put the value into the Kelly formula to calculate the ideal percentage bet from our bankroll:

According to this calculation, you should bet 38.6% of your bankroll, and with that high probability you would break your concept and your betting ideals. If you also consider now that 38.6% of your bankroll multiplied by a win rate of @ 1.15 – you would noticed that a really large bankroll is required in order to get decent profit. Eventually, you will inevitably reach the conclusion that you are losing significantly more, than you can actually win.

But what if I combine a few of “these” games?

A typical rookie mistake is to combine several games from this category. Win Chelsea, win Bayern, win Barcelona, ​win Real Madrid, win Juventus … and in the end you get odds of around @ 2.20; however, will all the combined bets go well when so many stadiums around the world are concerned?

In reality, with such a bet you only increase the bookmaker’s profit margin. No matter how many “safe bets” you combine, they never turn into value bets.

Think in a different direction: find a good over, an interesting under, maybe a handicap bet that you probably believe in. Never stop analyzing your bets, calculate their value, do not deviate from your bankroll management. There is no such thing as a favourite accumulator bet that you can practically “only win”. On the contrary: these are the bets that will crush you sooner or later.

Limit yourself to the essentials, analyze thoroughly, do not overdo it with types of bets or the number of combined games. The secret to accumulator and system bets is that absolutely every pick you put in is a value bet.

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