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Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/11 18:00Hidden LeagueDenmark
97%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 16:00Hidden LeagueFrance
94%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 15:00Hidden LeagueCyprus
94%
Toulouse FC - Stade de Reims
03/11 14:00Ligue 1France
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 13:00Hidden LeagueDenmark
91%
Pachuca - Necaxa
03/11 03:06Liga MXMexico
91%
Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna
03/11 03:10Liga MXMexico
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 15:00Hidden LeagueScotland
91%
Ružomberok - Žilina
03/11 14:30Niké LigaSlovakia
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 06:30Hidden LeagueChina PR
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 16:30Hidden LeagueGermany
88%
Manchester United - Chelsea
03/11 16:30Premier LeagueEngland
88%
Parma Calcio 1913 - Genoa
04/11 17:30Serie AItaly
88%
FC Nantes - Olympique de Marseille
03/11 19:45Ligue 1France
88%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 15:30Hidden LeagueSwitzerland
88%
Odd - Brann
03/11 16:00EliteserienNorway
88%
Midtjylland - Brøndby
03/11 13:00SuperligaDenmark
88%
Brommapojkarna - Värnamo
03/11 13:00AllsvenskanSweden
88%
Sirius - Mjällby
03/11 15:30AllsvenskanSweden
88%
Čukarički - Železničar Pančevo
04/11 17:30Super LigaSerbia
88%
Shenyang Urban - Yunnan Yukun
03/11 06:30League OneChina PR
88%
Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa FC
03/11 14:00Premier LeagueEngland
85%
Barcelona - Espanyol
03/11 15:15La LigaSpain
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 15:30Hidden LeagueSwitzerland
85%
Häcken - GAIS
03/11 13:00AllsvenskanSweden
85%
Akron - Krylya Sovetov
03/11 10:00Premier LeagueRussia
85%
Samsunspor - Antalyaspor
04/11 17:00Super LigTurkey
85%
Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles FC
04/11 01:45Major League SoccerUSA
85%
Consadole Sapporo - Cerezo Osaka
03/11 04:00J-LeagueJapan
85%
Aris - Levadiakos
03/11 14:30Super LeagueGreece
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/11 19:00Hidden LeagueRomania
85%
Radnički Kragujevac - Napredak
03/11 16:00Super LigaSerbia
85%
Jedinstvo Ub - OFK Beograd
04/11 17:30Super LigaSerbia
85%
Skalica - Banska Bystrica
03/11 14:30Niké LigaSlovakia
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 13:30Hidden LeagueAustria
83%
Celta de Vigo - Getafe CF
04/11 20:00La LigaSpain
83%
Napoli - Atalanta Bergamo
03/11 11:30Serie AItaly
83%
Hellas Verona - AS Roma
03/11 17:00Serie AItaly
83%
Molde - Bodø / Glimt
03/11 16:00EliteserienNorway
83%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 16:00Hidden LeagueNorway
83%
Beerschot-Wilrijk - Gent
03/11 18:15Pro LeagueBelgium
83%
Go Ahead Eagles - PEC Zwolle
03/11 11:15EredivisieNetherlands
83%
Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe
03/11 16:00Super LigTurkey
83%
Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia
03/11 05:00J-LeagueJapan
83%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 17:30Hidden LeagueCzech Republic
83%
Atromitos - AEK Athens
03/11 18:30Super LeagueGreece
83%
Lamia - PAOK
03/11 18:30Super LeagueGreece
83%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/11 15:30Hidden LeagueGreece
83%
Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok
03/11 13:45EkstraklasaPoland
83%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 19:00Hidden LeagueRomania
83%
Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas
03/11 13:00La LigaSpain
80%
Sevilla - Real Sociedad
03/11 17:30La LigaSpain
80%
Inter Milan - Venezia
03/11 19:45Serie AItaly
80%
Akhmat Grozny - Olimpiyets
03/11 12:15Premier LeagueRussia
80%
Krasnodar - Orenburg
03/11 16:45Premier LeagueRussia
80%
Tigre - Platense
03/11 20:00Liga Profesional de FútbolArgentina
80%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 21:00Hidden LeagueParaguay
80%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 20:00Hidden LeaguePeru
80%
Alianza Lima - Real Garcilaso
03/11 20:00Primera DivisionPeru
80%
Hibernian - Dundee United
03/11 15:00PremiershipScotland
80%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 11:15Hidden LeaguePoland
80%
Bačka Topola - Partizan
03/11 18:30Super LigaSerbia
80%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 06:30Hidden LeagueChina PR
80%
SC Freiburg - 1. FSV Mainz 05
03/11 14:30BundesligaGermany
79%
Auxerre - Stade Rennais FC
03/11 16:00Ligue 1France
79%
České Budějovice - Slovan Liberec
03/11 12:00Chance LigaCzech Republic
79%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 16:30Hidden LeaguePoland
79%
Athletic Bilbao - Real Betis
03/11 20:00La LigaSpain
77%
Norrköping - AIK
04/11 18:10AllsvenskanSweden
77%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 20:30Hidden LeagueArgentina
77%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 22:30Hidden LeagueArgentina
77%
Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso
03/11 20:00Primera DivisionPeru
77%
River Plate - Peñarol
03/11 22:30Primera DivisionUruguay
77%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/11 22:30Hidden LeagueUruguay
77%
Volos NFC - Panathinaikos
03/11 15:00Super LeagueGreece
77%
Nafta - Koper
03/11 16:301. SNLSlovenia
77%
Jiangxi Liansheng - Wuxi Wugou
03/11 06:30League OneChina PR
77%
Lazio Roma - Cagliari
04/11 19:45Serie AItaly
76%
AaB - Vejle
03/11 17:00SuperligaDenmark
76%
Sparta Rotterdam - FC Utrecht
03/11 13:30EredivisieNetherlands
76%
EGS Gafsa - Tataouine
03/11 13:30Ligue 1Tunisia
76%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga
03/11 04:00J-LeagueJapan
76%
Celje - Olimpija
03/11 14:001. SNLSlovenia
76%
Patriotas Boyacá - Boyacá Chicó
03/11 19:00Liga BetPlayColombia
74%
Slovácko - Viktoria Plzeň
03/11 14:30Chance LigaCzech Republic
74%
Bravo - Mura
03/11 12:001. SNLSlovenia
74%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 06:30Hidden LeagueChina PR
74%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/11 20:00Hidden LeagueEngland
73%
Kapfenberger SV - First Vienna
03/11 09:302. LigaAustria
73%
Lausanne Sport - Servette
03/11 13:15Super LeagueSwitzerland
73%
Corinthians - Palmeiras
04/11 23:00Serie ABrazil
73%
New York RB - Columbus Crew
03/11 21:30Major League SoccerUSA
73%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/11 17:00Hidden LeagueBosnia and Herzegovina
73%
Anorthosis - AEL
04/11 17:001. DivisionCyprus
73%
Crvena Zvezda - Vojvodina
03/11 16:00Super LigaSerbia
73%
Mladost Lučani - Spartak Subotica
04/11 15:30Super LigaSerbia
73%
Fredrikstad - Kristiansund
03/11 16:00EliteserienNorway
71%
Fénix - Racing
03/11 19:30Primera DivisionUruguay
71%
Zagłębie Lubin - Śląsk Wrocław
04/11 19:30EkstraklasaPoland
71%
Colo-Colo - Deportes Iquique
03/11 21:00Primera DivisionChile
70%
Melbourne Victory - Macarthur
03/11 05:00A-League MenAustralia
70%
Carrick Rangers - Linfield
03/11 12:30PremiershipNorthern Ireland
70%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/11 21:00Hidden LeagueParaguay
68%
FUS Rabat - Wydad Casablanca
03/11 17:00Botola ProMorocco
68%
WSG Swarovski Wattens - SC Rheindorf Altach
03/11 13:30Admiral BundesligaAustria
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 16:00Hidden LeagueAustria
68%
Arouca - Sporting Braga
03/11 18:00Liga PortugalPortugal
68%
Konyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir
03/11 10:30Super LigTurkey
68%
FAR Rabat - CR Khemis Zemamra
03/11 15:00Botola ProMorocco
68%
Western United - Melbourne City
04/11 08:00A-League MenAustralia
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 17:00Hidden LeagueCyprus
68%
Bohemians 1905 - Pardubice
03/11 14:30Chance LigaCzech Republic
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 14:00Hidden LeagueRomania
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 15:00Hidden LeagueEngland
65%
Ittihad Tanger - Maghreb Fès
03/11 19:00Botola ProMorocco
65%
Avispa Fukuoka - Kashiwa Reysol
03/11 06:00J-LeagueJapan
65%
Lillestrøm - Haugesund
03/11 16:00EliteserienNorway
65%
Rosenborg - Strømsgodset
03/11 18:15EliteserienNorway
65%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 15:00Hidden LeagueDenmark
65%
Halmstad - Djurgården
03/11 15:30AllsvenskanSweden
65%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/11 20:15Hidden LeaguePortugal
65%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 15:00Hidden LeagueBelgium
65%
Anderlecht - Kortrijk
03/11 17:30Pro LeagueBelgium
65%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/11 01:15Hidden LeagueColombia
65%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 12:00Hidden LeagueBosnia and Herzegovina
65%
Defensores de Salto - Compañia General
03/11 20:30Torneo Federal B - Pampeana NorteArgentina
65%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 14:30Hidden LeagueRussia
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 13:30Hidden LeagueNetherlands
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 21:00Hidden LeagueColombia
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 05:00Hidden LeagueKorea Republic
62%
Legia Warszawa - Widzew Lodz
03/11 19:15EkstraklasaPoland
62%
Katowice - Korona Kielce
04/11 17:00EkstraklasaPoland
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 22:00Hidden LeagueArgentina
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 06:30Hidden LeagueChina PR
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 11:30Hidden LeagueRomania
59%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 12:00Hidden LeagueSerbia
58%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 06:30Hidden LeagueChina PR
58%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 21:00Hidden LeagueColombia
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/11 23:30Hidden LeagueParaguay
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 12:45Hidden LeagueUruguay
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 13:30Hidden LeagueTunisia
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 12:30Hidden LeagueBelgium
55%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 15:45Hidden LeagueNetherlands
55%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 05:00Hidden LeagueJapan
55%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 16:00Hidden LeagueNorway
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/11 22:00Hidden LeagueArgentina
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 21:00Hidden LeagueColombia
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 18:00Hidden LeaguePortugal
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 20:30Hidden LeaguePortugal
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 16:00Hidden LeaguePeru
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 13:00Hidden LeagueTurkey
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 18:45Hidden LeagueBosnia and Herzegovina
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 12:00Hidden LeagueSerbia
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 21:00Hidden LeagueChile
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 13:30Hidden LeagueTunisia
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 14:00Hidden LeagueItaly
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/11 17:30Hidden LeagueItaly
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
05/11 00:00Hidden LeagueArgentina
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/11 16:00Hidden LeagueRomania
47%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 15:30Hidden LeaguePortugal
44%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 13:00Hidden LeagueTurkey
44%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 23:30Hidden LeagueUSA
44%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 23:30Hidden LeagueParaguay
38%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 13:30Hidden LeagueTunisia
38%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/11 06:30Hidden LeagueChina PR
38%

Over/Under bets with Overlyzer » your tool for over and under goal bets

With our Over/Under tool you get all statistical probabilities for goal counts of upcoming soccer games ➜ your ultimate advantage for Over/Under bets

Over/Under Betting with massive odds and high limits at 22Bet

How to bet successfully on over/under!

We have already explained what an over/under bet is in our article on special bets. How many goals are scored in a game? Is it three or more? Is it less than three? The notorious over/under bets are certainly one of the most interesting and exciting markets that the world of betting websites has to offer. But what betting strategy should you use to win?

The best betting sites offer statistics and direct comparisons before a duel between two teams or athletes. In most cases, however, they do not go far back into the past and leave the bettor with rather superficial information.

Generally, you can find statistics for the last five direct duels, as well as the last five games of the respective teams very quickly. Of course, the form of the day is important and also the last direct duels are not insignificant; but a tendency of how likely a high or low number of goals has occurred in previous match, is not necessarily left behind through these information.

To find out the actual scoring potential of two teams, you have to dig a little deeper. You should not only use the last few weeks as a benchmark, but a longer period of time! Of course, it can happen that a team has had a run in the last few weeks, but that doesn’t say much about the actual potential of this team.

Thus, we have to take a larger sample than the one suggested by the best betting websites in our reviews with their rather superficial statistics. Nonetheless, we shouldn’t make the mistake of calculating an average value. Rather, we should count how high the rate of over or under games was.

Do not be blinded by the average

Let’s take a closer look at the matter: We decide to find a team that we think is a good candidate for an over 2.5. Let’s take AC Milan’s Serie A home games between December 2015 and November 2016 as an example.

There was a total of 18 games, so it’s a representative sample. A total of 46 goals were scored in these 18 games, which corresponds to an average goal of 2.55 per game. We are already above the magical limit of 2.5. In those 18 Milan home games, there were an average of three goals rather than fewer than three goals.

However, there were some results that falsified this average because they were well above the 2.5 goals. For example a 3-3 against Frosinone, a 3-2 against Torino and a 4-3 against Sassuolo.

If we take a closer look on these 18 games and pick out those that actually noted three goals or more, we only get seven. Even if the average looks promising at first glance, you would have only won 39% of your over 2.5 bets if you had bet on it at each of these 18 AC Milan home games. This is how the average amount of goals can harm you instead of benefit you, when looking to bet over/under successfully.

Take a closer look at the number of over/under games

It makes sense to count the number of overs and unders – but not to calculate the goal average. This can also be applied to home games, away games or all games. In addition, it makes perfect sense to consider these counts in relation to the competition. For example, when Celtic hosts one outsider after the other in the Scottish Premier League, it is a different situation than when they have to play against FC Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League Betting.

Depending on the sport, you should take a set number of games as a sample. It also depends on how stretched the period is. If you use two whole seasons as a benchmark in football betting, this can also be counterproductive, especially if the squad of a team has changed.

We generally suggest a sample of 15 to 30 games. To be even more precise, it could be narrowed to 20 to 30 games.

In addition, it is advisable to stick to the standard amount for over/under bets – i.e. over 2.5 or under 2.5. Of course, there are always situations or games where you can find a decent value in an under 1.5 or an over 4.5, but in reality, these are the bets that online bookmakers are very fond of making money with. As with all other bets, the following applies: compare the odds, try to assess whether an odd is fair and then you will find enough value bets with the over/under 2.5 variant.

Secure your over/under bet

As always, the same applies here: if you want to be even more secure with your live bets, then go deeper. In the case of over/under bets, you can achieve this, among other things, by evaluating shots in relation to goals.

  • Number of shots by a team
  • How many of them went on goal?
  • What is the conversion rate?

But other statistics or observations can also help you with your over/under bets. For example, the question of how a team approaches a game. Do you try to score the first goal and then maintain the result in the best possible way? Or does a team go straight for the second goal once they lead 1-0. Of course, it also makes sense to consider the current shape of a team and to take into account runs or phases of weakness; but, a closer look at the larger sample shows whether the team generally has the potential for many goals – towards the one direction or the other!

The “safe” over/under games

Chelsea FC hosts Burnley FC at home and have won the last seven home games. The online bookmakers offer an average of @ 1.15 for a win for the Blues. Well, nothing can go wrong here.

However, you wouldn’t want to bet a lot of money on this game. The reason is relatively simple to explain: it can’t practically be a value bet. Let us now quantify a Chelsea win, for example, with a probability of 92%. There is no one hundred percent bet, because something unpredictable can always happen. A stupid goal conceded from a set piece and then a deep-laying opponent. An early red card. Or, one of those days when the ball just won’t go in.

Not really interesting, isn’t it? Not even after we put the value into the Kelly formula to calculate the ideal percentage bet from our bankroll:

According to this calculation, you should bet 38.6% of your bankroll, and with that high probability you would break your concept and your betting ideals. If you also consider now that 38.6% of your bankroll multiplied by a win rate of @ 1.15 – you would noticed that a really large bankroll is required in order to get decent profit. Eventually, you will inevitably reach the conclusion that you are losing significantly more, than you can actually win.

But what if I combine a few of “these” games?

A typical rookie mistake is to combine several games from this category. Win Chelsea, win Bayern, win Barcelona, ​win Real Madrid, win Juventus … and in the end you get odds of around @ 2.20; however, will all the combined bets go well when so many stadiums around the world are concerned?

In reality, with such a bet you only increase the bookmaker’s profit margin. No matter how many “safe bets” you combine, they never turn into value bets.

Think in a different direction: find a good over, an interesting under, maybe a handicap bet that you probably believe in. Never stop analyzing your bets, calculate their value, do not deviate from your bankroll management. There is no such thing as a favourite accumulator bet that you can practically “only win”. On the contrary: these are the bets that will crush you sooner or later.

Limit yourself to the essentials, analyze thoroughly, do not overdo it with types of bets or the number of combined games. The secret to accumulator and system bets is that absolutely every pick you put in is a value bet.

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