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Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 17:30Hidden LeagueGreece
97%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 13:00Hidden LeagueEngland
94%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 17:00Hidden LeagueCzech Republic
94%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 17:30Hidden LeagueGreece
94%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 17:30Hidden LeagueEngland
91%
Montpellier Hérault SC - RC Strasbourg Alsace
03/03 14:00Ligue 1France
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 15:30Hidden LeagueSwitzerland
91%
Genk - Club Brugge
03/03 12:30Pro LeagueBelgium
91%
Ajax - FC Utrecht
03/03 11:15EredivisieNetherlands
91%
PSV - Feyenoord
03/03 13:30EredivisieNetherlands
91%
Unión La Calera - Deportes Iquique
03/03 23:30Primera DivisionChile
91%
Beşiktaş - Galatasaray
03/03 16:00Super LigTurkey
91%
SJ Earthquakes - LA Galaxy
03/03 03:30Major League SoccerUSA
91%
New England - Toronto
03/03 19:00Major League SoccerUSA
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 12:00Hidden LeagueScotland
91%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 16:30Hidden LeagueGermany
88%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 15:30Hidden LeagueEngland
88%
Villarreal - Granada CF
03/03 13:00La LigaSpain
88%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 16:05Hidden LeagueFrance
88%
Sporting Braga - Estrela Amadora
02/03 20:30Liga PortugalPortugal
88%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 15:45Hidden LeagueNetherlands
88%
Unión Española - Coquimbo Unido
02/03 23:30Primera DivisionChile
88%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 23:30Hidden LeagueParaguay
88%
César Vallejo - Real Garcilaso
03/03 00:00Primera DivisionPeru
88%
Pendikspor - Konyaspor
03/03 10:30Super LigTurkey
88%
Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United
03/03 04:00A-League MenAustralia
88%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 17:00Hidden LeagueCyprus
88%
AE Zakakiou - Ethnikos Achna
03/03 17:001. DivisionCyprus
88%
Legia Warszawa - Pogoń Szczecin
02/03 19:00EkstraklasaPoland
88%
Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce
03/03 14:00EkstraklasaPoland
88%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 17:30Hidden LeagueSerbia
88%
Radomlje - Bravo
03/03 16:301. SNLSlovenia
88%
Clermont - Olympique de Marseille
02/03 20:00Ligue 1France
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 21:00Hidden LeagueChile
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 17:30Hidden LeagueGreece
85%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 17:30Hidden LeagueGreece
85%
PAS Giannina - Atromitos
03/03 17:30Super LeagueGreece
85%
1. Köln - Bayer Leverkusen
03/03 14:30BundesligaGermany
83%
WSG Swarovski Wattens - TSV Prolactal Hartberg
03/03 16:00Admiral BundesligaAustria
83%
Hellas Verona - US Sassuolo Calcio
03/03 11:30Serie AItaly
83%
Standard Liège - Gent
02/03 19:45Pro LeagueBelgium
83%
Kortrijk - RWDM
03/03 18:15Pro LeagueBelgium
83%
Heracles - Almere City
03/03 19:00EredivisieNetherlands
83%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 21:00Hidden LeagueChile
83%
General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Trinidense
03/03 21:00Division 1Paraguay
83%
Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau
02/03 18:15Primera DivisionPeru
83%
Vancouver Whitecaps - Charlotte
03/03 00:30Major League SoccerUSA
83%
Dallas - Montreal Impact
03/03 01:30Major League SoccerUSA
83%
Houston Dynamo - New York RB
03/03 01:30Major League SoccerUSA
83%
Seattle Sounders - Austin
03/03 03:30Major League SoccerUSA
83%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 17:00Hidden LeagueCzech Republic
83%
Teplice - Slovan Liberec
03/03 13:00Fortuna LigaCzech Republic
83%
SK Rapid Wien - SC Austria Lustenau
03/03 16:00Admiral BundesligaAustria
80%
Stade Brestois 29 - Le Havre
03/03 14:00Ligue 1France
80%
Olympique Lyon - Lens
03/03 19:45Ligue 1France
80%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 22:15Hidden LeagueArgentina
80%
Liverpool - Deportivo Maldonado
03/03 20:00Primera DivisionUruguay
80%
Adana Demirspor - Fatih Karagümrük
04/03 14:00Super LigTurkey
80%
Borac Banja Luka - GOSK Gabela
04/03 16:45Premier LigaBosnia and Herzegovina
80%
Zlín - Baník Ostrava
03/03 14:00Fortuna LigaCzech Republic
80%
Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań
03/03 16:30EkstraklasaPoland
80%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 13:30Hidden LeagueNetherlands
79%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 11:30Hidden LeaguePoland
79%
SK Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger AC
03/03 16:00Admiral BundesligaAustria
77%
RCD Mallorca - Girona
03/03 17:30La LigaSpain
77%
Defensa y Justicia - Lanús
03/03 20:00SuperligaArgentina
77%
Toluca - Tigres UANL
02/03 23:00Liga MXMexico
77%
Atlas - América
03/03 03:10Liga MXMexico
77%
Riadi Salmi - Moghreb Tétouan
03/03 15:00Botola ProMorocco
77%
Raja Casablanca - Olympic Safi
03/03 17:00Botola ProMorocco
77%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 13:30Hidden LeagueTunisia
77%
Zeljeznicar - Sarajevo
03/03 17:45Premier LigaBosnia and Herzegovina
77%
Sepsi - Voluntari
04/03 15:00Liga 1Romania
77%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 17:30Hidden LeagueSpain
76%
Frosinone Calcio - US Lecce
03/03 14:00Serie AItaly
76%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 17:00Hidden LeagueItaly
76%
Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar
02/03 20:00EredivisieNetherlands
76%
Minnesota United - Columbus Crew
02/03 19:00Major League SoccerUSA
76%
Portland Timbers - DC United
03/03 03:30Major League SoccerUSA
76%
Aris - AEK Athens
03/03 17:30Super LeagueGreece
76%
FC Salzburg - Austria Klagenfurt
03/03 16:00Admiral BundesligaAustria
74%
Blau-Weiß Linz - FK Austria Wien
03/03 16:00Admiral BundesligaAustria
74%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 17:00Hidden LeagueSwitzerland
74%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 16:00Hidden LeagueRussia
74%
Posusje - Velez
03/03 13:00Premier LigaBosnia and Herzegovina
74%
AEK Larnaca - Aris
04/03 16:001. DivisionCyprus
74%
SSC Farul - CFR Cluj
02/03 18:00Liga 1Romania
74%
FCSB - Petrolul 52
03/03 18:30Liga 1Romania
74%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 13:30Hidden LeagueSerbia
74%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 17:30Hidden LeagueGermany
73%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 14:00Hidden LeagueItaly
73%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 18:00Hidden LeaguePortugal
73%
Sporting CP - Farense
03/03 18:00Liga PortugalPortugal
73%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 17:45Hidden LeagueNetherlands
73%
Cienciano - Carlos Manucci
04/03 00:00Primera DivisionPeru
73%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy - Grasshopper
02/03 17:00Super LeagueSwitzerland
71%
Basel - Lausanne Sport
02/03 19:30Super LeagueSwitzerland
71%
Inter Miami - Orlando City
02/03 21:30Major League SoccerUSA
71%
Colorado Rapids - Nashville SC
03/03 02:30Major League SoccerUSA
71%
Viborg - Randers
03/03 13:00SuperligaDenmark
70%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 17:00Hidden LeagueDenmark
70%
Portimonense - Vizela
03/03 15:30Liga PortugalPortugal
70%
Porto - Benfica
03/03 20:30Liga PortugalPortugal
70%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 17:30Hidden LeagueBelgium
70%
Vitesse - FC Twente
02/03 19:00EredivisieNetherlands
70%
Talleres Córdoba - River Plate
03/03 00:30SuperligaArgentina
70%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 23:30Hidden LeagueParaguay
70%
Pachuca - Juárez
03/03 01:00Liga MXMexico
70%
Monterrey - Pumas UNAM
04/03 01:00Liga MXMexico
70%
Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Shenhua
03/03 12:00Super LeagueChina PR
70%
Voždovac - Spartak Subotica
03/03 15:30Super LigaSerbia
70%
Atlético Tucumán - Vélez Sarsfield
02/03 22:00SuperligaArgentina
68%
Deportivo Pereira - América de Cali
02/03 23:10Liga BetPlayColombia
68%
Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas
03/03 23:10Liga BetPlayColombia
68%
OH Leuven - Union Saint-Gilloise
02/03 17:15Pro LeagueBelgium
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 15:00Hidden LeagueBelgium
68%
Junior - Atlético Nacional
03/03 01:20Liga BetPlayColombia
68%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 23:00Hidden LeagueUruguay
68%
CR Khemis Zemamra - Hassania Agadir
02/03 19:00Botola ProMorocco
68%
Monza - AS Roma
02/03 17:00Serie AItaly
65%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 13:30Hidden LeagueRussia
65%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 13:00Hidden LeagueUruguay
65%
Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles FC
02/03 19:00Major League SoccerUSA
65%
Chicago Fire - Cincinnati
03/03 01:30Major League SoccerUSA
65%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 01:30Hidden LeagueUSA
65%
Ittihad Tanger - FAR Rabat
02/03 17:00Botola ProMorocco
65%
Koper - Rogaška
03/03 14:001. SNLSlovenia
65%
Luzern - Lugano
03/03 13:15Super LeagueSwitzerland
62%
Brøndby - Vejle
03/03 15:00SuperligaDenmark
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 15:30Hidden LeaguePortugal
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 05:00Hidden LeagueKorea Republic
62%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 12:30Hidden LeagueRomania
62%
SV Horn - Admira Wacker
03/03 09:30Erste LigaAustria
61%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 10:30Hidden LeagueTurkey
61%
Panserraikos - Asteras Tripolis
03/03 17:30Super LeagueGreece
61%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 20:00Hidden LeagueSpain
59%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 15:30Hidden LeagueSwitzerland
59%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 22:15Hidden LeagueArgentina
59%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/03 01:20Hidden LeagueColombia
59%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 01:30Hidden LeagueUSA
58%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 11:35Hidden LeagueChina PR
58%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 06:00Hidden LeagueAustralia
58%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 19:45Hidden LeagueItaly
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 14:00Hidden LeagueFrance
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 21:00Hidden LeagueChile
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 01:05Hidden LeagueMexico
56%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 20:00Hidden LeagueSpain
55%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 13:00Hidden LeagueDenmark
55%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/03 03:00Hidden LeagueMexico
55%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 11:00Hidden LeagueRussia
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
04/03 00:30Hidden LeagueArgentina
53%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 21:00Hidden LeagueColombia
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 17:00Hidden LeagueEgypt
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 19:45Hidden LeagueItaly
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 17:00Hidden LeagueEgypt
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 07:00Hidden LeagueJapan
50%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 20:00Hidden LeagueArgentina
47%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 21:00Hidden LeagueColombia
47%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 20:00Hidden LeagueUruguay
47%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 12:00Hidden LeagueSerbia
47%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 16:00Hidden LeagueAustria
44%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 15:15Hidden LeagueSpain
44%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 23:30Hidden LeagueChile
44%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
02/03 21:00Hidden LeagueParaguay
44%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 15:00Hidden LeagueCyprus
44%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 12:00Hidden LeagueFrance
41%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 20:00Hidden LeagueArgentina
32%
Hidden Home - Hidden Away
03/03 13:30Hidden LeagueTunisia
32%

Over/Under bets with Overlyzer » your tool for over and under goal bets

With our Over/Under tool you get all statistical probabilities for goal counts of upcoming soccer games ➜ your ultimate advantage for Over/Under bets

Over/Under Betting with massive odds and high limits at 22Bet

How to bet successfully on over/under!

We have already explained what an over/under bet is in our article on special bets. How many goals are scored in a game? Is it three or more? Is it less than three? The notorious over/under bets are certainly one of the most interesting and exciting markets that the world of betting websites has to offer. But what betting strategy should you use to win?

The best betting sites offer statistics and direct comparisons before a duel between two teams or athletes. In most cases, however, they do not go far back into the past and leave the bettor with rather superficial information.

Generally, you can find statistics for the last five direct duels, as well as the last five games of the respective teams very quickly. Of course, the form of the day is important and also the last direct duels are not insignificant; but a tendency of how likely a high or low number of goals has occurred in previous match, is not necessarily left behind through these information.

To find out the actual scoring potential of two teams, you have to dig a little deeper. You should not only use the last few weeks as a benchmark, but a longer period of time! Of course, it can happen that a team has had a run in the last few weeks, but that doesn’t say much about the actual potential of this team.

Thus, we have to take a larger sample than the one suggested by the best betting websites in our reviews with their rather superficial statistics. Nonetheless, we shouldn’t make the mistake of calculating an average value. Rather, we should count how high the rate of over or under games was.

Do not be blinded by the average

Let’s take a closer look at the matter: We decide to find a team that we think is a good candidate for an over 2.5. Let’s take AC Milan’s Serie A home games between December 2015 and November 2016 as an example.

There was a total of 18 games, so it’s a representative sample. A total of 46 goals were scored in these 18 games, which corresponds to an average goal of 2.55 per game. We are already above the magical limit of 2.5. In those 18 Milan home games, there were an average of three goals rather than fewer than three goals.

However, there were some results that falsified this average because they were well above the 2.5 goals. For example a 3-3 against Frosinone, a 3-2 against Torino and a 4-3 against Sassuolo.

If we take a closer look on these 18 games and pick out those that actually noted three goals or more, we only get seven. Even if the average looks promising at first glance, you would have only won 39% of your over 2.5 bets if you had bet on it at each of these 18 AC Milan home games. This is how the average amount of goals can harm you instead of benefit you, when looking to bet over/under successfully.

Take a closer look at the number of over/under games

It makes sense to count the number of overs and unders – but not to calculate the goal average. This can also be applied to home games, away games or all games. In addition, it makes perfect sense to consider these counts in relation to the competition. For example, when Celtic hosts one outsider after the other in the Scottish Premier League, it is a different situation than when they have to play against FC Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League Betting.

Depending on the sport, you should take a set number of games as a sample. It also depends on how stretched the period is. If you use two whole seasons as a benchmark in football betting, this can also be counterproductive, especially if the squad of a team has changed.

We generally suggest a sample of 15 to 30 games. To be even more precise, it could be narrowed to 20 to 30 games.

In addition, it is advisable to stick to the standard amount for over/under bets – i.e. over 2.5 or under 2.5. Of course, there are always situations or games where you can find a decent value in an under 1.5 or an over 4.5, but in reality, these are the bets that online bookmakers are very fond of making money with. As with all other bets, the following applies: compare the odds, try to assess whether an odd is fair and then you will find enough value bets with the over/under 2.5 variant.

Secure your over/under bet

As always, the same applies here: if you want to be even more secure with your live bets, then go deeper. In the case of over/under bets, you can achieve this, among other things, by evaluating shots in relation to goals.

  • Number of shots by a team
  • How many of them went on goal?
  • What is the conversion rate?

But other statistics or observations can also help you with your over/under bets. For example, the question of how a team approaches a game. Do you try to score the first goal and then maintain the result in the best possible way? Or does a team go straight for the second goal once they lead 1-0. Of course, it also makes sense to consider the current shape of a team and to take into account runs or phases of weakness; but, a closer look at the larger sample shows whether the team generally has the potential for many goals – towards the one direction or the other!

The “safe” over/under games

Chelsea FC hosts Burnley FC at home and have won the last seven home games. The online bookmakers offer an average of @ 1.15 for a win for the Blues. Well, nothing can go wrong here.

However, you wouldn’t want to bet a lot of money on this game. The reason is relatively simple to explain: it can’t practically be a value bet. Let us now quantify a Chelsea win, for example, with a probability of 92%. There is no one hundred percent bet, because something unpredictable can always happen. A stupid goal conceded from a set piece and then a deep-laying opponent. An early red card. Or, one of those days when the ball just won’t go in.

Not really interesting, isn’t it? Not even after we put the value into the Kelly formula to calculate the ideal percentage bet from our bankroll:

According to this calculation, you should bet 38.6% of your bankroll, and with that high probability you would break your concept and your betting ideals. If you also consider now that 38.6% of your bankroll multiplied by a win rate of @ 1.15 – you would noticed that a really large bankroll is required in order to get decent profit. Eventually, you will inevitably reach the conclusion that you are losing significantly more, than you can actually win.

But what if I combine a few of “these” games?

A typical rookie mistake is to combine several games from this category. Win Chelsea, win Bayern, win Barcelona, ​win Real Madrid, win Juventus … and in the end you get odds of around @ 2.20; however, will all the combined bets go well when so many stadiums around the world are concerned?

In reality, with such a bet you only increase the bookmaker’s profit margin. No matter how many “safe bets” you combine, they never turn into value bets.

Think in a different direction: find a good over, an interesting under, maybe a handicap bet that you probably believe in. Never stop analyzing your bets, calculate their value, do not deviate from your bankroll management. There is no such thing as a favourite accumulator bet that you can practically “only win”. On the contrary: these are the bets that will crush you sooner or later.

Limit yourself to the essentials, analyze thoroughly, do not overdo it with types of bets or the number of combined games. The secret to accumulator and system bets is that absolutely every pick you put in is a value bet.

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