Croatia vs. Morocco Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 3rd place play-off

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In the end, the big sensation didn’t happen. Croatia and Morocco lost their semifinals and will now meet in the third-place playoffs.

We provide you with a detailed preview of the match, as well as the best odds and predictions, and offer you our Croatia – Morocco betting picks.

The match will take place on Saturday, December 17 at 6 pm Qatar time at the Khalifa International Stadium in al-Rayyan.

Latest betting odds

Most international bookmakers and bettors consider Croatia to be slight favorites against Morocco.

At our ➜ test winner Bet365 you get odds of @2.35 for a win by Croatia. In case of a draw and thus extra time you can win back 3.40 times your stake, for a win by Morocco after 90 minutes odds of @3.00 await.

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Croatia to win2.352.352.33
Draw3.403.453.35
Morocco to win3.003.103.00
* odds for regular time only (2×45 minutes) – 2×15 minutes extra time and penalty shoot-out do not count for these betting odds

Overlyzer Tip

Croatia to win against Morocco best odds 2.35 @ Bet365

Overlyzer Match Betting Prediction Croatia vs. Morocco

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World Cup 2022 Betting Croatia vs. Morocco

  1. Croatia Match preview
  2. Morocco Match preview
  3. Team comparison
  4. The last duel
  5. Over/under betting pick
  6. Match Betting prediction
  7. Correct score bet
  8. FAQ

Overlyzer Live Betting Trends

Croatia World Cup 2022 Preview

In the semifinals, Argentina revealed the limits of the Croatian team. Croatia played well against the South Americans, but too many individual mistakes were made, allowing Lionel Messi and Co. to show their class.

Nevertheless, it was a more than successful World Cup for the solid Croatians, who now want to say goodbye to their fans in a fitting manner in the match for third place.

Overlyzer Live Trends Argentina Croatia
Especially the second half was quite an open affair between the Croats and Argentina…

Team boss Zlatko Dalic could make some changes in the last game of the World Cup and give some substitutes a chance to play. However, the Croatians have proven in the tournament so far that their bench is well-equipped and can provide a scoring threat.

Marcelo Brozovic suffered an injury in the semifinal against Argentina, and it’s unlikely they’ll take any chances on the strong Inter midfielder. So at least here there will be a change in the team, which is not ideal for Croatia, especially since the strong central midfield is perfectly rehearsed.

Croatia previous World Cup matches

DateOpponentVenue ResultXGPossessionAccuracyDuels won
23/11/2022MoroccoN0 – 00.74 : 0.2563.64%87.38%42.16%
27/11/2022CanadaN4 – 11.50 : 0.4045.98%83.33%51.50%
01/12/2022BelgiumN0 – 00.73 : 2.1849.07%86.68%41.62%
05/12/2022JapanN1 – 1 (P)0.96 : 1.2259.76%85.32%48.63%
09/12/2022BrazilN1 – 1 (P)0.71 : 1.3451.57%88.37%49.10%
13/12/2022ArgentinaN0 – 30.49 : 2.0760.10%88.32%50.49%

Morocco World Cup 2022 Preview

The dream of the World Cup final is over for the Moroccans. France was a size too large and although they had good opportunities, the French were cleverer in the end.

It was a tough semi-final for the Moroccans because France took the lead in the first few minutes of the game and then backed off. Morocco was thus forced to take charge of the game, something they have never had to do in the tournament so far. Morocco delivered a spirited fight, but then had to concede the second goal through Kolo Muani.

Overlyzer Live Trends France Morocco
Morocco never had as much possession as against France at the 2022 World Cup!

For the second time Romain Saiss started with a muscle injury. Coach Walid Regragui brought in his captain even though he was not fit because he is simply too important for the team. But against France it ended and Saiss had to be substituted after only 20 minutes. He will certainly not take part in the match for third place.

Noussair Mazraoui could also be absent for the match, so there could be several changes to the Moroccans’ starting eleven. It’s quite possible that Regragui also wants to give his “second suit” a chance to present itself once again at the World Cup.

Morocco previous World Cup matches

DateOpponentVenue ResultXGPossessionAccuracyDuels won
23/11/2022CroatiaN0 – 00.25 : 0.7436.36%83.58%55.39%
27/11/2022BelgiumN2 – 01.03 : 0.5837.12%88.82%52.13%
01/12/2022CanadaN2 – 10.51 : 1.2242.09%86.13%48.60%
06/12/2022SpainN0 – 0 (P)0.72 : 1.0126.45%75.08%51.89%
10/12/2022PortugalN1 – 00.94 : 1.5527.21%78.67%46.30%
14/12/2022FranceN0 – 21.69 : 2.4361.01%87.72%49.74%

Team comparison

In favor of Croatia:

+ Qualitative advantages in the center
+ Morocco suffering from injuries, including the absence of captain Saiss
+ Higher tournament experience

In favor of Morocco:

+ “Home advantage” due to the many Moroccan fans on site.
+ Croatia coach Dalic could possibly make a lot of changes
+ Self-confidence unbroken, also because they left Croatia behind them in Group F
+ Still the strongest defense of the tournament


The last duel

Croatia and Morocco already met during the group stage. The match ended in a goalless 0-0 draw, with Morocco managing no more than 0.25 expected goals and allowing only 0.74 xG from the Croatians.

It was the first match for both teams at this tournament and therefore they were still very cautious. In the match for 3rd place just three weeks later, it is no longer necessary to act cautiously and so a completely different game is to be expected this time.

Overlyzer Live Trends Morocco Croatia
The first match between these two teams at the 2022 World Cup ended with no goals.

Croatia – Morocco Over Under Prediction

Since 1974, there has only been one match for the 3rd place that ended with an “Under 2.5”. That was Belgium’s 2-0 win over England at the 2018 World Cup. Otherwise, every match for 3rd place has been a guarantee for many goals. This has to do with the nature of the game: Often, after a long tournament, teams are out of breath and more mistakes happen. In addition, none of the teams have anything to lose and can compete a little more relaxed.

Therefore, even in the duel of these two rather defensive teams, we bet on an “Over 2.5”, that is, at least three goals scored in the match.

Overlyzer Tip

Croatia – Morocco OVER 2,5 goals ➜ best odds 1.90 @ Bet365

Overlyzer Over/Under Betting Pick Croatia vs. Morocco

Croatia – Morocco Prediction

The Moroccans have been impressive in their efforts and by now the physical damage is noticeable. Saiss and Mazraoui could be out against Croatia due to injury and coach Regragui will have to consider rotating extensively.

Croatia is more used to final phases of tournaments than the Moroccans and should be the more solid team towards the end. Morocco will be a little out of steam, and a certain feeling of saturation will set in after what they have achieved so far, so they will finish the tournament in fourth place.

Overlyzer Tip

Croatia to win against Morocco best odds 2.35 @ Bet365

Overlyzer Match Betting Prediction Croatia vs. Morocco

Croatia – Morocco Correct Score Bet

So we expect a win for the Croats and a lot of goals in the match for 3rd place because of the “setting”. We expect Croatia to win 3-1, because Morocco will allow more than in the games up to the semifinals due to the failures in defense.

After finishing second in 2018, it will be a bit more important for the Croats to finish the 2022 World Cup in third place and so we expect a more attack-minded Croatian team that can create a lot more scoring chances than in the first encounter in the group stage.

Overlyzer Tip

Croatia to beat Morocco 3-1 ➜ best odds 21.0 @ Bet365

Overlyzer Correct Score Betting Tip vs. Morocco

FAQ – Questions and answers about Croatia – Morocco at the 2022 World Cup

When does Croatia – Morocco start?

The match between Croatia and Morocco will take place on Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 6pm Qatar time. The match will be played at the Khalifa International Stadium in al-Rayyan

Where will Croatia – Morocco be broadcasted?

In the United Kingdom the game between Croatia and Morocco can be watched live on the BBC. In the United States Fox Sports will be the place to watch the game and in Canada the match will be aired on TNS. Fans from Morocco watch on SNRT, followers from Croatia tune in to HRT.

How did Croatia and Morocco qualify for the match for third place?

Croatia lost its semifinal match against Argentina clearly with 3-0 and Morocco was defeated by the reigning world champion France with 2-0.

Who are Croatia´s best players?

The star players of the Croatian national team play in central midfield: Luka Modric, Marcelo Brozovic and Mateo Kovacic’s are absolutely world class! The best young player in the team is 20-year-old centre back Josko Gvardiol from RB Leipzig.

Who are Morocco´s best players?

Morocco’s biggest star is Paris Saint-Germain’s Achraf Hakimi. His fellow full-back Noussair Mazraoui of Bayern Munich is also one of the team’s top players. In addition, Hakim Ziyech, Youssef En-Nesyri and goalkeeper Bono must be watched closely.

How are the Croatia – Morocco betting odds?

The renowned English bookmaker Bet365 offers odds of @2.30 for a win by Croatia. A draw brings odds of @3.40 and a victory by Morocco gets odds of @3.10.

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