Netherlands vs. Argentina Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | Quarterfinals

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In the second quarterfinal of the 2022 World Cup, the Netherlands will face Argentina. This will be the first time in the current World Cup that there will be a rematch of a World Cup final, namely the one from 1978.

We provide you with a detailed preview of the match, as well as the best odds and predictions, and offer you our Netherlands – Argentina betting picks

The road to the quarterfinals

The Netherlands won Group A ahead of Senegal, Ecuador and Qatar with seven points. However, the Dutch did not really shine in any of their group games. On the other hand, they performed well against the USA in the round of 16. The U.S. boys created their opportunities but the Netherlands struck at the right times and won 3:1.

Argentina, however, have only been convincing to a limited extent so far in the tournament. Right at the start, they suffered an almost historic defeat against Saudi Arabia. After that, however, they were able to hold their own against Mexico and Poland and win Group C. In the round of 16, they faced Australia, and the bottom line was a 2-1 victory. Argentina was too inefficient on the counterattack and didn’t get the ball into the net, which is why the game was a nail-biter right to the end.

The match will take place on Friday, December 9 at 10 pm Qatar time at the Lusail Iconic Stadium in Lusail.

Latest betting odds

Argentina is considered a slight favorite by oddsmakers against the Netherlands.

At our ➜ top bookmaker Betsson, you can get odds of @3.70 for a win by the Netherlands. In case of a draw and thus extra time, you can win back 3.15 times your stake, and for a win by Argentina after 90 minutes, odds of @2.22 await you.

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Netherlands to win3.603.703.45
Argentina to win2.202.222.24
* odds for regular time only (2×45 minutes) – 2×15 minutes extra time and penalty shoot-out do not count for these betting odds

Overlyzer Tip

Netherlands to draw with Argentina best odds 3.15 @ Betsson

Overlyzer Match Betting Prediction Netherlands vs. Argentina

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World Cup 2022 Betting Portugal vs. Switzerland

  1. Netherlands Match preview
  2. Argentina Match preview
  3. Team comparison
  4. The last duel
  5. Over/under betting pick
  6. Match Betting prediction
  7. Correct score bet
  8. FAQ

Overlyzer Live Betting Trends

Netherlands World Cup Quarterfinals Preview

The Netherlands have not yet been able to really convince at the tournament so far. In the group stage, they struggled to overcome Senegal, played weakly in the 1-1 draw against Ecuador and finally defeated Qatar without a shine.

In the round of 16, the Dutch scored three goals for the first time, but the opponent from the United States had great opportunities to even turn the game, although “Oranje” was already 2-0 ahead at the break after goals from Memphis Depay and Daley Blind.

Denzel Dumfries scored the decisive 3:1 five minutes after Haji Wright’s USA goal, which earned him a kiss from his coach Louis van Gaal at the press conference.

Overlyzer Live Trends Netherlands vs. USA
The Netherlands were not the better team against the USA for long stretches, but they were the more effective team!

The way the Netherlands performed against the USA was not “Dutch” at all. Normally the country is known for fast, dynamic attacking soccer, but this time they took an early lead and then surrendered the initiative to the USA. In the end, they had little possession and low passing accuracy, which also came down to directness in transition play.

So the Netherlands didn’t look for control, but much more for quick, direct counterattacks to exploit the USA’s defensive weaknesses. This was quite a risky concept, which was also shown by the Expected Goals statistic: In the end, the score was 1.57 : 2.25 against the Dutch.

The approach against Argentina will probably be similar, but of course the attacking power of the Albiceleste is greater than that of the USA. Still, the plan could be promising because Argentina doesn’t always move back fast enough when they lose the ball in high zones. So we will see an uncharacteristically “inactive” Dutch team against Argentina as well.

However, the Netherlands’ success proves them right: they have been unbeaten in regular time for 18 World Cup games now!

Netherland previous World Cup matches

DateOpponentVenue ResultXGPossessionAccuracyDuels won
21/11/2022SenegalN2 – 00.95 : 0.8251.21%84.71%48.53%
25/11/2022EcuadorN1 – 10.04 : 1.3756.07%86.04%50.70%
29/11/2022QatarN2 – 02.08 : 0.1359.14%91.95%43.42%
03/12/2022USAN3 – 11.57 : 2.2538.39%79.70%46.31%

Argentina World Cup Quarterfinals Preview

Argentina quickly bounced back from a 2-1 loss to Saudi Arabia on the first matchday of the group stage and remained flawless thereafter. Three wins from their last three games speak for themselves, and they put in a very strong performance against the Poles in particular.

However, the team around its superstar Lionel Messi has still not shown itself to be playing like truly world champions. This is mainly due to the lack of efficiency in the offensive, which was particularly visible in the final phase of the round of 16 match against Australia.

The “Gauchos” could have added a goal or two in stoppage time, but repeatedly failed to do so. As a result, even the blatant underdogs from Australia still had chances to turn the game around completely.

Overlyzer Live Trends Argentina vs. Australia
Argentina was the better team against Australia , but failed to decide the game  early…

Argentina was the better team against Australia , but failed to decide the game  early…

The Netherlands will be the first real test for Argentina. Lionel Scaloni’s team has not yet had to play against a top team in the World Cup so far. Lionel Messi’s unpredictability is a big plus for the two-time world champions.

However, they could face a number of problems against the Netherlands in terms of physicality. The average height difference per player in the expected lineups gives an advantage of over eight centimeters in favor of the Dutch (185.6cm vs. 177.4cm). This means that the Netherlands will probably also have a not inconsiderable advantage when it comes to set pieces, while Argentina will benefit from the technical aspect.

The teams are therefore on an even footing and an exciting revival of the 1978 World Cup final should be on the cards!

Papu Gomez had to be substituted against Australia due to injury, but he should be able to play against the Netherlands. Ángel di María, on the other hand, could continue to be absent for his team manager Lionel Scaloni.

Argentina previous World Cup matches

DateOpponentVenue ResultXGPossessionAccuracyDuels won
22/11.2022Saudi-ArabienN1 – 22.39 : 0.2968.53%84.49%48.44%
26/11.2022MexikoN2 – 00.51 : 0.0958.17%85.18%49.51%
30/11.2022PolenN2 – 03.62 : 0.1371.95%93.01%49.48%
03/12.2022AustralienN2 – 12.30 : 0.7159.35%89.58%48.48%

Team comparison

In favor of Netherlands:

+ Physical advantage, significantly larger players on average
+ Impressive streak of 18 consecutive World Cup games without defeat in regular time
+ Efficiency in the offensive
+ They can approach the game destructively and let Argentina take the initiative
+ Against the USA, the width of the squad also showed its class
+ No injuries

In favor of Argentina:

+ Technical advantages compared to the Netherlands
+ With Lionel Messi they have a player who is good for the “special” moments
+ Clearly better xG values than the Netherlands in the tournament so far
+ The central midfield showed improvement in recent games

The last duel

The Netherlands and Argentina have met a total of nine times. In fact, the upcoming quarterfinal will be the sixth time these two countries have met in a World Cup. Argentina have never beaten the Netherlands after 90 minutes!

However, the Argentines won the last encounter on their way to the World Cup final after a penalty shootout. In 2014, the score was 0-0 after 120 minutes in the semifinals of the World Cup in Brazil, and it was only after that that Argentina secured its place in the final: all the Argentines scored, but on the Netherlands’ side Vlaar and Sneijder missed their penalties. Argentina then lost the final to Germany after extra time.

The Netherlands’ most bitter defeat, however, came in 1978, when Argentina, then led by the brilliant Mario Kempes, prevailed in the World Cup final on home soil. Shortly before the end of regulation time, Dutchman Rob Rensenbrink hit the bar at 1-1. In extra time, however, two goals from the Argentines clinched the title in front of their own crowd.

At the 1978 World Cup final, the atmosphere in Buenos Aires was magnificent!

Potential opponents for the semifinals

The winner of the duel between the Netherlands and Argentina will meet the winner of the quarterfinal match between Croatia and Brazil in the semifinals.

Netherlands – Argentina Over Under Prediction

The Netherlands won 3-1 against the USA, the Argentines 2-1 against Australia. For the Dutch, it was even the first “Over 2.5” in the tournament.

In the direct duel in the quarterfinals of the World Cup, however, things will look different. Both teams will be anxious not to make any mistakes and it is hardly to be expected that an open battle will develop here. We think that the two teams will try to keep each other as far away from their own goal as possible.

Our bet here is therefore an “Under 2.5”, i.e. a maximum of two goals scored in the match.

Overlyzer Tip

Netherlands – Argentina UNDER 2,5 goals ➜ best odds 1.70 @ Bet365

Overlyzer Over/Under Betting Pick Netherlands vs. Argentina

Netherlands – Argentina Prediction

When the Netherlands met Argentina in major events, it was usually a very close affair! Three of the five World Cup matches between these two teams ended in a draw, and two of those three games went into extra time because they were already knockout games.

A draw – and thus extra time – is a very likely option this time as well. It is to be expected that neither of the two teams will build up permanent pressure, but that the teams will rather cancel each other out.

Therefore, we bet on the third overtime between these two teams in the context of a World Cup. And then, as we all know, everything is up for grabs and the team with the stronger nerves will win the match – a perfect situation for a live bet!

Overlyzer Tip

Netherlands to draw with Argentina best odds 3.15 @ Betsson

Overlyzer Match Betting Prediction Netherlands vs. Argentina

Netherlands – Argentina Correct Score Bet

Both the Netherlands and Argentina have always scored in their four World Cup matches so far. Only once did the teams score only one goal – although these two matches were not won – and three times each they scored two or more goals.

Therefore, we expect both teams to score goals this time as well. Since we expect few goals and a draw, our Netherlands Argentina result tip is 1:1.

Overlyzer Tip

Correct score 1-1 after regular time ➜ best odds 6.50 @ Bet365

Overlyzer Correct Score Betting Tip Netherlands vs. Argentina

FAQ – Questions and answers about Netherlands – Argentina at the 2022 World Cup

When does Netherlands – Argentina start?

The match between the Netherlands and Argentina will take place on Friday, December 9, 2022 at 10 p.m. Qatar time. The match will be played at the Lusail Iconic Stadium in Lusail.

Where will Netherlands – Argentina be broadcasted?

In the United Kingdom the game between Netherlands and Argentina can be watched live on the BBC. In the United States Fox Sports will be the place to watch the game and in Canada the match will be aired on TNS. Fans from Netherlands watch on NOS, followers from Argentina tune in to TVP or TyC Sports.

How did the Netherlands and Argentina qualify for the quarterfinals?

The Netherlands beat the USA 3-1 in the round of 16. Argentina knocked the big underdogs Australia out of the tournament, winning their round of 16 match 2-1.

Who is the possible opponent of the Netherlands or Argentina in the semifinals?

The winner of the match between the Netherlands and Argentina will face the winner of the match between Croatia and Brazil in the semifinals.

Who are Netherland´s best players?

The most renowned international players of the Dutch are the two central defenders Virgil van Dijk from Liverpool and Mathijs de Ligt from Bayern Munich. In addition, players such as Frenkie de Jong, Steven Bergwijn or Cody Gakpo are great hopes of “Oranje”.

Who are Argentina´s best players?

The undisputed star player of the Argentines is, of course, seven-time world footballer Lionel Messi. But you also have to look very closely at players like Lautaro Martínez or the center backs Cristian Romero and Lisandro Martínez.

How are the Netherlands – Argentina betting odds?

The renowned English bookmaker Bet365 offers odds of @3.50 for a win by the Netherlands. A draw and thus extra time will bring odds of @3.25 and a win for Argentina offers odds of @2.15.

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