Netherlands vs. USA Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | Round of 16
The round of the last 16 of the 2022 World Cup kicks off with a clash between the Netherlands and the United States of America.
We provide you with an in-depth preview of the match, take a look at the best odds and the most exciting predictions and offer you the most promising Netherlands – USA betting picks.
The Netherlands won Group A with seven points against Senegal, Ecuador and Qatar. The final match against Qatar was a relatively unimpressive 2-0 win, with the Netherlands’ previous top player Cody Gakpo also scoring in the third game to keep his tally at three goals from three matches.
The USA managed to fight their way into the round of the last 16 against Iran. Gregg Berhalter’s team finished second in Group B behind England. In the process, the Americans collected a goal difference of just 2-1. It doesn’t get much more minimalistic than that!
The match will take place on December 3 at 6pm Qatar time at the Khalifa International Stadium in al-Rayyan.
Latest betting odds
The Netherlands are considered slight favourites by all international bookmakers in the first round of the last 16 of the 2022 World Cup.
Our ➜ top bookmaker Betsson offers odds of @1.98 for a win by the Netherlands. For a draw you can win back 3.40 times your stake, and if the USA win you can even collect 4.30 times your stake.
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| ➜ visit Bookmaker | ➜ visit Bookmaker | ➜ visit Bookmaker | |
| Netherlands to win | 1.90 | 1.98 | 1.98 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| USA to win | 4.33 | 4.30 | 4.20 |
DRAW after regular time ➜ best odds 3.40 @ Betsson
Overlyzer Match Betting Prediction Netherlands vs. USA
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- Netherlands Match preview
- USA Match preview
- Team comparison
- The last duel
- Over/under betting pick
- Match Betting prediction
- Correct score bet
- FAQ
Netherlands Match Preview
The Dutch were inconsistent in the group stage and were never fully convincing. They had a difficult game against Senegal, which they eventually won, but against Ecuador they put in a very poor performance and were well served with a 1-1 draw.
In their last group match against Qatar, the Dutch also had a lot of empty runs in their game and the last-placed team in the group was only really put under pressure in the early stages or until Cody Gakpo made it 1-0. After 2-0 through Frenkie de Jong, the Dutch only kept the game under control and tried to save their energy.
Louis van Gaal’s team are now favourites against the USA, but the task will be anything but easy because the Americans know how to keep their opponents away from goal.
Nevertheless, some exciting statistics should not be ignored: The Dutch are still undefeated in 2022. Their last defeat came in June 2021 at the European Championship against the Czech Republic – in the round of the last 16.
In addition, the Dutch have a high tournament affinity. The last time the Netherlands lost in regulation time at a World Cup was in 2006! They lost to Portugal in the round of the last 16. If you disregard defeats after extra time or penalty shootouts, the Dutch are undefeated in 17 World Cups!
Louis van Gaal will be able to draw on his full resources against the USA and field his best team.
Netherlands previous World Cup matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | XG | Possession | Accuracy | Duels won |
| 21.11.2022 | Senegal | N | 2 – 0 | 0.95 : 0.82 | 51.21% | 84.71% | 48.53% |
| 25.11.2022 | Ecuador | N | 1 – 1 | 0.04 : 1.37 | 56.07% | 86.04% | 50.70% |
| 29.11.2022 | Qatar | N | 2 : 0 | 2.08 : 0.13 | 59.14% | 91.95% | 43.42% |
Netherlands World Cup statistics
– The Netherlands are unbeaten in 17 World Cup matches after regular playing time!
– In five of the last six World Cup matches the Netherlands did not concede a goal
– 5 of the last 6 Netherlands matches ended with an “under 2.5”.
USA Match Preview
The United States of America were one of the most minimalistic teams in the World Cup so far. They advanced to the round of the last 16 in second place in Group B with a goal difference of 2-1, leaving Iran and Wales behind.
The USA also managed to hold on to a 0-0 draw against the eventual group winners England, allowing only a few opportunities to the English, who were weak in this match. Against Iran, the US boys were largely in control of the game and took the lead through Christian Pulisic. It was only in the closing stages of the game that Iran launched an attack, but it was not crowned with success.
Like the Dutch, the USA go into the round of the last 16 undefeated. However, the win against Iran was the first after two draws against Wales and England.
It remains to be seen whether the success over the surprisingly solid Iranians will turn out to be a Pyrrhic victory. Already at half-time, the star of the US-Americans, Christian Pulisic, had to be replaced due to injury. In the second half, centre-forward Josh Sargent also had to go off with an injury.
Christian Pulisic sends a message of support to his USMNT teammates ❤️🇺🇸
— FOX Soccer (@FOXSoccer) November 29, 2022
(via @AreaSportsNet, @Adimitri24) pic.twitter.com/Vk0yculZfA
Christian Pulisic hints on Twitter that he will be fit on Saturday!
Once again, however, the US boys proved that they can perform well at major events. The Americans are now unbeaten in 10 of the last 11 World Cup matches.
In addition, they have improved with the task at hand in the World Cup so far, and the tactical performance of the defense in particular is to be highly valued. In the three group matches, the USA allowed a total of only 2.11 expected goals by their opponents. They conceded only one penalty goal against Wales.
As things look at the moment, coach Gregg Berhalter has all players at his disposal. Only Pulisic and Sargent will have to wait for their final physical examinations.
USA previous World Cup matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | XG | Possession | Accuracy | Duels won |
| 21.11.2022 | Wales | N | 1 : 1 | 0.86 : 1.17 | 58.51% | 87.70% | 55.14% |
| 25.11.2022 | England | N | 0 : 0 | 0.78 : 0.62 | 46.33% | 85.61% | 48.00% |
| 29.11.2022 | Iran | N | 1 : 0 | 1.47 : 0.32 | 51.27% | 86.24% | 45.64% |
USA World Cup statistics
– The USA are unbeaten in 10 of last 11 World Cup matches
– The last five USA matches all ended with an “under 2.5”.
Team comparison
In favor of Netherlands:
+ Wider squad and more options than the USA
+ A solid defense around Van Dijk, De Ligt and Ake
+ Cody Gakpo is in top form and has scored in every game so far
+ High tournament experience and always good results in knockout games
In favor of USA:
+ Very solid performance and they increases with the challenge
+ The defense has improved significantly over the course of the tournament
+ Few scoring opportunities are allowed by the opponents
+ The USA does not have to be creative, but can act in a wait-and-see manner
The last duel
The last time the Netherlands and the USA met in a friendly international match was in June 2015. Unlike this time, the match turned out to be a real spectacle and the USA walked off the pitch as 4-3 winners.
The last two goals for the USA through Danny Williams and Bobby Wood came in the 89th and 90th minutes. For the Dutch, Klaas-Jan Huntelaar, who has since ended his career, scored a brace.
Potential opponents in the quarter-finals
The winner of the clash between the Netherlands and the USA will meet the winner of the round of 16 match between Argentina and Australia in the quarter-finals.
If the two favorites prevail, there could be a revival of the 1978 final. However, this time it will already be in the quarter-finals of the World Cup…
Netherlands – USA Over Under Prediction
As our World Cup statistics already show, neither the Dutch nor the US are teams that have been practicing exciting attacking football lately.
Pragmatism reigns supreme and both teams are currently known for managing a lead and seeking control.
Therefore, and due to the characteristics of the game, we do not expect many goals to be scored here. It is the first knockout match of the World Cup and there is no clear favorite, which is why they will cautiously keep a close eye on their own defensive compactness.
Our Over Under prediction for the match between the Netherlands and the USA is therefore an “Under 2.5”, i.e. a maximum of two goals scored in the match.
Netherlands – USA UNDER 2,5 goals ➜ best odds 1.65 @ Bet365
Overlyzer Over/Under Betting Pick Netherlands vs. USA
Netherlands – USA Prediction
Both teams know that in the first three games of the tournament they did not perform at their best and were lucky not to lose at times.
Particularly disappointing was the lack of scoring threat from the Dutch. They did end up scoring five goals in the group stage, but did so with a low Expected Goals score of 3.07. Louis van Gaal’s team doesn’t look like it can outscore an opponent at the moment, and we think the USA can hold their own here – as they did against England.
In the very first knockout match of the 2022 World Cup, we are therefore betting on extra time – our tip for the Netherlands against the USA is therefore a draw.
DRAW after regular time ➜ best odds 3.40 @ Betsson
Overlyzer Match Betting Prediction Netherlands vs. USA
Netherlands – USA Correct Score Bet
An exciting fight between these two teams is not to be expected. They will take a wait-and-see approach, rely on defensive stability and be very focused on not committing any mistakes.
This could develop into a stalemate, with the Dutch unable to find a way through against the disciplined US and the US letting the clock run down.
Netherlands vs. USA feels like a match where little things or a single lucky punch can make the difference. However, we are betting that this decision will only be made in extra time after 90 minutes without a goal. Our Netherlands USA result tip is therefore 0-0
Correct score 0-0 after regular time ➜ best odds 6.50 @ Bet365
Overlyzer Correct Score Betting Tip Netherlands vs. USA
FAQ – Questions and answers about Netherlands – USA at the 2022 World Cup
The match between the Netherlands and the USA will take place on November 3 2022 at 6pm Qatar time. The match will be played at the Khalifa International Stadium.
In the United Kingdom the game between the Netherlands and the USA can be watched live on the BBC. In the United States Fox Sports will be the place to watch the game and in Canada the match will be aired on TNS. Fans from Netherlands watch on NOS.
The Dutch finished first in Group A, topping Senegal, Ecuador and Qatar with seven points. The USA finished second in Group B with five points behind England, leaving Iran and Wales behind.
The winner of the match between the Netherlands and the USA will meet the winner of the clash between Argentina and Australia in the quarter-finals.
The internationally most renowned players of the Dutch are the two centre backs Virgil van Dijk from Liverpool and Mathijs de Ligt from Bayern Munich. In addition, players like Frenkie de Jong, Steven Bergwijn or Cody Gakpo are great hopes for the “Oranje”.
The renowned English bookmaker Bet365 offers odds of @1.90 for a win by the Netherlands. A draw and extra time will bring odds of @3.40 and a USA win will bring odds of @4.50.