2022 FIFA World Cup Group C – Odds, Predictions and Betting Tips
Group C of the 2022 World Cup in Qatar will feature Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Mexico and Poland. The two-time world champion from Argentina is the obvious favorite in this group, and Mexico and Poland are likely to determine the second promotion spot between themselves.
The betting odds on Saudi Arabia are very high – the Qatari neighbors are heavy underdogs.
Table of contents: World Cup 2022 Group C
- World Cup betting on Group C
- Who will win group C?
- Who will advance to the round of 16?
- Statistics for last games of Group C teams
- Over/Under Trends for Group C
- Who will score the first goal in the match?
- Group C Match Schedule
- FAQ – Questions and answers about World Cup 2022 Group C!
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Argentina is the best team in group C in terms of overall quality. Most eyes are naturally on the ageing superstar Lionel Messi, for whom this will probably be the last World Cup for the “Albiceleste”. However, the Argentines still have a number of other top players, especially in the attack. Lautaro Martinez and Angel di Maria, for example, are performing at a very high level and are always capable of scoring goals. The team’s defensive quality, however, is lower.
Saudi Arabia will travel to Qatar without a foreign player due to domestic transfer regulations, and any win by the Saudis would be a sensation. This will be the underdog’s sixth appearance at a World Cup, but only their 1994 tournament debut saw them make it past the group stage. With French coach Hervé Renard, however, the underdogs will be very tactically disciplined.
Mexico is a regular at World Cups, but is currently undergoing a radical change. In addition, several of the team’s key players have been injured recently, so they could continue to have staffing worries until the tournament.
Poland is on the verge of its ninth World Cup finals and all eyes are on super striker Robert Lewandowski. The Barcelona star is the great source of hope for the Polish selection and will naturally also be the clear target player. How well Lewandowski can be put in the limelight will be the key question for the Poles’ tournament performance.
World Cup betting on Group C
Argentina is the favorite to win Group C for all major bookmakers. Our bookmaker test winner Bet365 offers odds of @1.40 for the South Americans to finish first. The bookies even believe Argentina will win the tournament: The current odds of @8.00 on Argentina to win the World Cup are the fourth lowest for this type of bet after France, England and odds-on favorite Brazil.
According to the sports betting sites, the race for second place will be a really tight one: both Poland’s and Mexico’s promotion bring odds of @1.90 at Bet365. When betting on the group winner, however, the Poles are just ahead at @5.50. A first place for Mexico in Group C brings odds of @6.00.
Two different playing styles clash between Mexico and Poland. The Mexicans usually play fast attacking soccer, while Poland is known for its tactical discipline. The fact that the two teams meet on the very first matchday of the group makes things extremely exciting, because neither team can afford to show any weakness.
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Who will win group C?
Argentina has the strongest squad in Group C and is therefore understandably the bookmaker’s favorite for first place. Because of Lionel Messi alone, but also because of players like Lautaro Martínez or Ángel di María, the low odds of @1.40 on Argentina winning the group are absolutely reasonable.
Argentina also has the advantage of facing Saudi Arabia in their first group game, meaning they do not have a direct duel against a strong contender. Coach Lionel Scaloni’s experienced and high-quality squad can therefore focus on their mandatory win while the other two teams take points away from each other.
This starting advantage alone will be a positive factor on the road to winning the group.
Who will advance to the round of 16?
Behind obvious favorites Argentina, Poland and Mexico are likely to battle it out for second place in the group. Most bookmakers see the two nations almost evenly matched – Bet365 offers odds of @1.90 for both Polish and Mexican advancement.
Poland could have a chance to beat the Mexicans in the race for advancement thanks to Robert Lewandowski. Mexico does not have such a key player like the former Bayern goal-scorer in its ranks. In terms of tournament experience, the two teams are also almost equal, which is why we see Lewandowski as the decisive factor in the difference between these two teams.
Betting pick: ➜ Argenitina and Poland advance to the round of 16 @ Bet365
Statistics for last games of Group C teams
|28/01/2022||Chile||A||2 – 1||1.09 : 0.83||42,35%||81,40%||54,45%|
|02/02/2022||Colombia||H||1 – 0||0.84 : 0.63||55,05%||90,34%||50,00%|
|26/03/2022||Venezuela||H||3 – 0||1.59 : 0.77||74,60%||91,55%||42,78%|
|30/03/2022||Ecuador||A||1 – 1||1.14 : 2.08||49,32%||90,46%||49,74%|
|01/06/2022||Italy||N||3 – 0||2.22 : 0.68||53,63%||91,57%||42,60%|
|05/06/2022||Estonia||N||5 – 0||4.24 : 0.39||74,92%||92,31%||50,82%|
|24/09/2022||Honduras||H||3 – 0||2.59 : 0.08||60,92%||93,58%||51,13%|
|28/09/2022||Jamaica||H||3 – 0||1.87 : 0.07||62,86%||91,06%||56,83%|
|28/01/2022||Jamaica||A||2 – 1||2.56 : 0.23||74,83%||88,80%||51,49%|
|31/01/2022||Costa Rica||H||0 – 0||1.43 : 0.81||69,98%||91,36%||44,02%|
|03/02/2022||Panama||H||1 – 0||1.54 : 0.26||51,22%||81,23%||49,42%|
|25/03/2022||USA||H||0 – 0||0.35 : 0.97||64,89%||84,07%||50,00%|
|28/03/2022||Honduras||A||1 – 0||1.87 : 0.24||63,04%||84,80%||53,33%|
|31/03/2022||El Salvador||H||2 – 0||2.55 : 0.05||57,17%||88,49%||53,75%|
|28.04.2022||Guatemala||H||0 – 0||0.73 : 0.10||65,42%||88,31%||43,45%|
|29.05.2022||Nigeria||N||2 – 1||1.99 : 0.19||56,33%||90,98%||41,58%|
|03/06/2022||Uruguay||N||0 – 3||0.80 : 1.74||54,43%||84,71%||44,38%|
|06/06/2022||Ecuador||N||0 – 0||0.42 : 1.03||50,75%||82,70%||44,63%|
|12/06/2022||Suriname||H||3 – 0||3.16 : 0.13||56,57%||83,91%||43,39%|
|15/06/2022||Jamaica||A||1 – 1||1.16 : 0.51||58,55%||87,60%||48,85%|
|01/09/2022||Paraguay||H||0 – 1||2.04 : 0.62||73,91%||86,93%||49,03%|
|25/09/2022||Peru||N||1 – 0||0.79 : 0.46||46,80%||81,66%||51,64%|
|28/09/2022||Colombia||N||2 – 3||1.44 : 0.73||41,03%||83,23%||40,78%|
|24/03/2022||Scotland||A||1 – 1||1.38 : 1.83||48,11%||84,21%||42,74%|
|29/03/2022||Sweden||H||2 – 0||1.67 : 1.05||37,76%||74,45%||49,18%|
|01/06/2022||Wales||H||2 – 1||1.62 : 0.51||54,74%||83,47%||47,95%|
|08/06/2022||Belgium||A||1 – 6||0.90 : 2.35||36,20%||80,37%||47,14%|
|11/06/2022||Netherlands||A||2 – 2||0.74 : 2.58||32,87%||79,66%||46,57%|
|14/06/2022||Belgium||H||0 – 1||1.17 : 0.92||32,66%||82,92%||49,66%|
|22/09/2022||Netherlands||H||0 – 2||0.63 : 1.13||42,34%||86,00%||42,96%|
|25/09/2022||Wales||A||1 – 0||0.70 : 0.76||49,82%||83,38%||50,43%|
|27/01/2022||Oman||H||1 – 0||1.22 : 0.91||55,82%||80,18%||59,17%|
|01/02/2022||Japan||A||0 – 2||0.15 : 1.12||60.36%||83,39%||43,59%|
|24/03/2022||China||A||1 – 1||2.47 : 0.85||71,81%||89,80%||51,08%|
|29/03/2022||Australia||H||1 – 0||1.58 : 0.87||54,87%||88,33%||45,31%|
|05/06/2022||Colombia||N||0 – 1||0.50 : 1.76||49,23%||87,23%||45,91%|
|09/06/2022||Venezuela||N||0 – 1||0.34 : 2.22||55,75%||82,08%||45,28%|
|23/09/2022||Ecuador||N||0 : 0||0.75 : 0.85||43,21%||76,41%||49,04%|
|27/09/2022||USA||H||0 : 0||0.71 : 0.47||43,91%||83,05%||48,86%|
Over/Under Trends for Group C
Argentina’s attacking power is, of course, extraordinarily high. In 2021 and the first half of 2022 alone, the Gauchos scored three goals or more eight times in a single international match.
When Saudi Arabia is on the pitch, defense is key. In the first half of 2022, the Saudis played six international matches and all ended with an “under 2.5”. By June 2022, there had been a total of eleven “under 2.5” matches in a row. However, this could change at the World Cup due to the difference in quality between Saudi Arabia and their group opponents, and Saudi Arabia will probably concede one or two more goals than against teams like China or Oman.
Mexico has had to cope with some bad luck in recent months due to injuries and has rarely been able to muster its full attacking power. In the World Cup qualifiers, for example, the results were very close and low. Only one of six qualifying matches in 2022 ended with an “over 2.5”. However, the tide should turn when all the key players are back in the game, and so we always see Mexico on the verge of an over 2.5.
As the first matches in the UEFA Nations League in 2022 showed, Poland currently has a major defensive problem. In two matches against Belgium, as well as one each against the Netherlands and Wales, the Polish side conceded ten goals.
The problems at the back coupled with the attacking power around Robert Lewandowski speak for a high “over” probability. However, they will be a bit more cautious at the World Cup finals.
Speaking of Over/Under Betting: Have you already seen our Over/Under tool? Our betting tool shows you even before the game starts the probabilities of how many goals will be scored in a game and if a game has an “over” or an “under” trend!
Who will score the first goal in the match?
To bet on the first goalscorer of a match, you need to consider a few aspects. Who kicks the penalties for each team? Who is the target player in the attack? Who are the top scorers in the national team?
We sum up the most promising picks for the first goalscorer of each team.
|Lionel Messi (penalty taker and superstar)||Argentina|
|Lautaro Martínez (target player)||Argentina|
|Ángel di María (dribbler)||Argentina|
|Raul Jimenez (target player)||Mexico|
|Hirving Lozano (dribbler)||Mexico|
|Robert Lewandowski (penalty taker and target man)||Poland|
Group C Match Schedule
Group C will be played over six fixtures from November 22, 2022, to November 30, 2022. One of the biggest key matches, the duel between Mexico and Poland, will already take place on the first matchday.
|Nov. 22||1 p.m.||C||Lusail||Argentina – Saudi Arabia|
|Nov. 22||7 p.m.||C||Stadium 974||Mexico – Poland|
|Nov. 26||4 p.m.||C||Education City||Poland – Saudi Arabia|
|Nov. 26||10 p.m.||C||Lusail||Argentina – Mexico|
|Nov. 30||10 p.m.||C||Lusail||Saudi Arabia – Mexico|
|Nov. 30||10 p.m.||C||Stadium 974||Poland – Argentina|
Kick-off times on schedules are stated as local time in Qatar. Please check following table to translate kick-off times to your time-zone:
|Qatar (local time)||USA & Canada (ET)||UK (GMT)||Europe (CET)||Australia (AEDT)||India (IST)|
|1 p.m.||5 a.m.||10 a.m.||11:00||9 p.m.||3:30 p.m.|
|4 p.m.||8 a.m.||1 p.m.||14:00||12 p.m.||6:30 p.m.|
|6 p.m.||10 a.m.||3 p.m.||16:00||2 p.m.||8:30 p.m.|
|7 p.m.||11 a.m.||4 p.m.||17:00||3 p.m.||9:30 p.m.|
|10 p.m.||2 p.m.||7 p.m.||20:00||6 p.m.||12:30 a.m.|
Argentina – Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 22, 2022, 10:00 am GMT, Lusail Iconic Stadium
Lionel Messi and his team will play their opening match in the biggest stadium of the World Cup. The match will take place at 1 p.m. Qatar time and thus in the midday sun. This is probably the only advantage for Saudi Arabia, who will be more used to the prevailing temperatures. Otherwise, however, everything speaks in favor of Argentina in this match.
We expect the Argentines to win their first match as a matter of course. The difference in class between them and the Saudis is simply too great, and the tournament-experienced Argentines also know that it’s extremely important to set the standard in their first match against the blatant underdogs.
Mexico – Poland
Tuesday, November 22, 2022, 04:00 om GMT, Stage 974
When Mexico and Poland meet in the second match of Group C, it is expected that the two teams will first feel each other out and try not to make any mistakes. Due to the balance of this duel, caution will initially be the top priority for both coaches.
We see a slight advantage for Poland in this match, but it smells like a draw. Mexico will try to limit the movement of Robert Lewandowski.
Poland – Saudi Arabia
Saturday, November 26, 2022, 01:00 pm GMT, Education City Stadium
After the difficult opening game against Mexico, it is inevitable that Poland will have to win against Saudi Arabia at the Education City Stadium. We expect Poland to be more attack-minded in this match, and they will try to use Lewandowski as much as possible.
Due to the difference in quality of the two teams, but also due to the fact that Poland is considered an efficient, straightforward team, we expect a clear and decisive victory of the only European representative in group C.
➜ Betting pick: Win Poland @ – / Bet365
Argentina – Mexico
Saturday, November 26, 2022, 07:00 pm GMT, Lusail Iconic Stadium
Here we can look forward to a lively, entertaining encounter. Argentina is naturally favored against Mexico, but since Mexico is likely to play defensively against the group favorites, the second group match could be a game of patience for Messi and his teammates.
Nevertheless, we expect Argentina to win here. In addition, this game is a good choice for an “under” bet, especially since the starting position does not suggest an attacking game with many goals.
➜ Betting pick: Argentina @ – / Bet365
Poland – Argentina
Wednesday, November 30, 2022, 07:00 pm GMT, Stadium 974
As always, the final matchday of the group will depend on the group’ s standings. However, since we predicted that Argentina would win the first two games, it is likely that coach Lionel Scaloni will spare one or two players against the Poles.
Poland should be able to take advantage of this and we expect them to leave the pitch with a point. With the necessary tactical discipline, a draw could be within the realm of possibility for Poland here.
➜ Betting pick: Draw @ – / Bet365
Saudi Arabia – Mexico
Wednesday, November 30, 2022, 07:00 pm GMT, Lusail Iconic Stadium
The match against Saudi Arabia is definitely a must-win for Mexico. Nothing should go wrong against the underdogs of Group C and we expect Mexico to be much more attacking than in the first two group games.
As the match does not take place until 10 p.m. Qatar time, the Saudis’ last and only advantage – their higher tolerance of the climate – also disappears. We assume that Mexico will be able to clearly prevail in the last group match.
➜ Betting pick: Win Mexico @ – / Bet365
FAQ – Questions and answers about World Cup 2022 Group C!
Group C will feature Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Mexico and Poland.
According to all major bookmakers, Argentina are the clear favorites to win Group C. Bet365 offers odds of @1.40 for the Albiceleste to finish first after the clashes with Saudi Arabia, Mexico and Poland.
No fewer than three matches in Group C will be played at the World Cup’s biggest stadium, the Lusail Iconic Stadium. Two fixtures will take place at Stadium 974 in Doha and one game will kick off at Education City Stadium in al-Rayyan.
The first-placed team in Group C will play the second-placed team in Group D in the round of 16. Possible opponents are France, Denmark, Tunisia or Australia.