World Cup betting strategy: These teams will be eliminated in the group stage
In this article we present you Value Bets for the group stage of the 2022 World Cup. We look at teams that we believe will not make it to the round of 16.
We have three different picks for you, which you can play depending on your risk appetite.
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Betting tip #1: Ecuador will not qualify for the round of 16 @1.72 / Bet365
Ecuador always have a big advantage in the World Cup qualifiers because the home matches are played in the Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa in Quito, which is located at an altitude of 2,783 metres.
The opponents there can handle the high-altitude air much worse than Ecuador’s national players. Even the major football powerhouses Argentina and Brazil did not manage more than a draw in their recent qualifying matches under these circumstances.
At the 2022 World Cup, however, coach Gustavo Alfaro’s team will have to do without this major advantage and it is even likely that the two group opponents, Senegal and Qatar, will cope far better with the climatic conditions.
Ecuador have not been drawn into an easy group. The Netherlands are the big favorites, and Senegal are also coming with many top players to Qatar, even though it can be assumed that superstar Sadio Mané will be missing the group matches due to injury.
Qatar are the biggest underdogs in Group A, but the advantage of playing at home, especially in these weather conditions, should not be underestimated. Especially in the opening match against Ecuador, Qatar will put everything on the line.
The biggest argument for betting against advancing from the group, however, is provided by Ecuador itself. The South Americans have enormous problems on the attack. In the last five test matches against Iraq, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Cape Verde and Mexico, they scored only one goal!
Ecuador won their match against the underdogs from Cape Verde 1-0, but could not manage more than a goalless draw against the other four opponents.
Even Senegal and the Netherlands will not find it easy to break down Ecuador’s defense, but even three 0-0 draws would hardly be enough for promotion.
Based on the lucrative odds, we can fully recommend the bet that Ecuador will not reach the round of 16.
Betting tip #2: Australia fail to qualify for the Round of 16 @1.22 / Bet365
With our next tip, the odds are not as great as with our first bet, but with this betting slip, not much should go wrong. It is also possible to play this pick as part of a combination bet to improve the overall odds.
At past World Cups, Australia could at least fall back on key players like Tim Cahill or Marc Schwarzer, who certainly had international class.
This year, the Socceroos are travelling to the tournament without any stars and have issues in every part of the team, except for the goalkeeper position, which is quite solid with Copenhagen’s Mathew Ryan.
Even the other underdog in Group D, Tunisia, has some highly interesting talents in the team who have great potential. Brondby’s Anis Slimane and Birmingham loanee Hannibal Mejbri, for example, are players from whom a lot can be expected.
The bet that Australia will not reach the last 16 is therefore perfectly playable in light of the above circumstances, despite the low odds.
Betting tip #3: Croatia fail to qualify for the round of 16 @2.62 / Bet365
While the second recommendation is for bettors who like to place safe bets and accept low odds, we now come to a high-risk tip. We think there is a decent chance that the runners-up from 2018 will not make it past the group stage.
Canada have two top players in Bayern winger Alphonso Davies and Lille goalgetter Jonathan David, and in coach John Herdman they have an absolute expert on the sidelines who can adapt his team perfectly to their opponents. They are also a physically strong and athletic team.
Morocco have a very good back-up in Sevilla goalkeeper Bono and PSG full-back Achraf Hakimi is among the best defenders at this tournament anyway. The technically skilled Moroccans also have some very interesting attacking players in Sofiane Boufal, Hakim Ziyech and Sevilla striker Youssef En-Nesyri.
It is entirely possible that one of the two underdogs will be able to challenge Croatia and cause a sensation in the group stage.
However, it should be noted that this bet is only suited to bettors who are willing to take risks, as the Croatian national team not only has an extremely strong central midfield but also far more international experience.